Bundesliga · Matchweek 32
Steve Mounié 90'
HT 0:2
Shuto Machino 25' (pen)
Alexander Bernhardsson 40'
Alexander Bernhardsson 51'
Sun, 4 May 2025, 14:30 (UK) · WWK Arena, Augsburg
FC Augsburg · 43 pts|Holstein Kiel · 25 pts

FC Augsburg edged xG (3.22–2.15) but Holstein Kiel took the win.

Player of the matchAlexander Bernhardsson8.8Decisive moment25' Shuto Machino+0.8

FC Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel

Key numbers

  • Possession 72% – 28%
  • Shots 27 (10 on target) – 7 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 25' Shuto Machino, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Alexander Bernhardsson 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-20-31-3
FC Augsburg ahead 0 min · level 25 min · Holstein Kiel ahead 65 min
  • Steve Mounié — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

25' Shuto Machino Pen goal +0.8
40' Alexander Bernhardsson Goal +0.6
51' Alexander Bernhardsson Goal · assist Steven Skrzybski +0.2
90' Steve Mounié Goal 0.0
FC Augsburg Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Holstein Kiel Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FC AugsburgHolstein Kiel
72%Possession28%
3.22Expected goals (xG)2.15
0.12xG per shot0.31
27Shots7
10Shots on target5
37%Shots on target %71%
16Shots in box6
592Passes238
87%Pass accuracy71%
12Corners0
1Saves9
4Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
2Offsides0

Compared with usual

FC Augsburg

35 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.2
Conceded31.3
xG3.220.83high
xG against2.151.2
Shots2711.3
On target103.5high
Shots faced712.8
xG per shot0.120.08
Possession72%44.3%
Passes592404.9
Pass accuracy87%78%
Corners124.4
Fouls410.8low

Holstein Kiel

33 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.5
Conceded12.4
xG2.151.1
xG against3.221.6
Shots711.5
On target54.3
Shots faced2715.9
xG per shot0.310.1high
Possession28%45.4%
Passes238383
Pass accuracy71%77.1%
Corners03.8low
Fouls2012high

Timeline

  • 25' Goal Shuto Machino (pen) league goal #11
  • 39' Sub Shuto Machino → Phil Harres
  • 40' Goal Alexander Bernhardsson league goal #6
  • 51' Goal Alexander Bernhardsson league goal #7 assist Steven Skrzybski
  • 54' Sub Marius Wolf → Henri Koudossou
  • 54' Sub Cedric Zesiger → Phillip Tietz
  • 56' Sub Alexander Bernhardsson → Magnus Knudsen
  • 63' Sub Samuel Essende → Steve Mounié
  • 63' Sub Mert Kömür → Arne Maier
  • 74' Sub Armin Gigović → Marvin Schulz
  • 74' Sub Steven Skrzybski → Jann-Fiete Arp
  • 79' Sub Frank Onyeka → Elvis Rexhbeçaj
  • 85' Yellow Jann-Fiete Arp
  • 90' Goal Steve Mounié league goal #1
  • 90+4' Yellow Nicolai Remberg

Category leaders

  • Key passesDimitrios Giannoulis7
  • Duels wonAlexis Claude-Maurice9/16
  • DribblesAlexis Claude-Maurice3/4
  • Defensive actionsDavid Zec6
  • ShotsAlexis Claude-Maurice5 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonAlexis Claude-Maurice4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.