Real Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo
Key numbers
- Possession 54% – 46%
- Shots 17 (6 on target) – 14 (7)
- Decisive moment: 33' Arda Güler, FN xPts +0.5
Player of the match
Arda Güler 8.8Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
1-02-03-03-13-2
Real Madrid ahead 57 min · level 33 min · Celta Vigo ahead 0 min
- Williot Swedberg — off the bench 25 min · 1G 0A
- Iago Aspas — off the bench 15 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
33'
Arda Güler
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Lucas Vázquez +0.2
+0.5
39'
Kylian Mbappé
Goal · assist Jude Bellingham
+0.2
48'
Kylian Mbappé
Goal · assist Arda Güler
0.0
69'
Javi Rodríguez
Goal
0.0
76'
Williot Swedberg
Goal · assist Iago Aspas
+0.1
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −0.2Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Celta Vigo
Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −0.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Real MadridCelta Vigo
2.12Expected goals (xG)1.85
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
53 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.12 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.85 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 17 | 16.6 | |
| On target | 6 | 6.9 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 54% | 58.1% | |
| Passes | 605 | 587.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 89.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 9.7 | |
Celta Vigo
last 20 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.85 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.12 | 0.85 | |
| Shots | 14 | 11.9 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.9 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 9.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 53.6% | |
| Passes | 518 | 520.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 84.4% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 13.7 | |
Timeline
- 33'
Goal
Arda Güler league goal #3 assist Lucas Vázquez
- 39'
Goal
Kylian Mbappé league goal #23 assist Jude Bellingham
- 45'
Yellow
Jude Bellingham
- 48'
Goal
Kylian Mbappé league goal #24 assist Arda Güler
- 54'
Sub
Fran Beltrán → Ilaix Moriba
- 54'
Sub
Sergio Carreira → Hugo Álvarez
- 62'
Yellow
Yoel Lago
- 65'
Sub
Borja Iglesias → Pablo Durán
- 65'
Sub
Alfon González → Williot Swedberg
- 67'
Sub
Raúl Asencio → Jacobo Ramón
- 69'
Goal
Javi Rodríguez league goal #3
- 74'
Sub
Dani Ceballos → Luka Modrić
- 75'
Sub
Hugo Sotelo → Iago Aspas
- 76'
Goal
Williot Swedberg league goal #4 assist Iago Aspas
- 83'
Sub
Arda Güler → Brahim Díaz
- 90+5'
Yellow
Jacobo Ramón
Category leaders
- Key passesArda Güler3
- Duels wonVinícius Júnior9/13
- DribblesVinícius Júnior5/8
- Defensive actionsIlaix Moriba4
- ShotsArda Güler4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonJude Bellingham3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.