Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 49% – 51%
- Shots 20 (3 on target) – 12 (4)
- Decisive moment: 60' Eberechi Eze, FN xPts +1.0
Player of the match
Murillo 7.6Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
1-01-1
Crystal Palace ahead 4 min · level 86 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
60'
Eberechi Eze
Pen goal
+1.0
64'
Murillo
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Neco Williams +0.2
+0.8
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest
2.56Expected goals (xG)0.71
Compared with usual
Crystal Palace
43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.56 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.71 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 20 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 12.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 49% | 44% | |
| Passes | 373 | 394 | |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 76.9% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.9 | |
Nottingham Forest
40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.71 | 1 | |
| xG against | 2.56 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 12 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 13.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 51% | 41.4% | |
| Passes | 407 | 357.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 77.7% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 11 | |
Timeline
- 7'
Yellow
Nicolás Domínguez
- 57'
VAR
Tyrick Mitchell
- 59'
Yellow
Matz Sels
- 60'
Goal
Eberechi Eze (pen) league goal #5
- 61'
Sub
Adam Wharton → Will Hughes
- 63'
Yellow
Daniel Muñoz
- 64'
Goal
Murillo league goal #2 assist Neco Williams
- 65'
Sub
Nicolás Domínguez → Ramón Sosa
- 67'
Yellow
Ibrahim Sangaré
- 74'
Yellow
Neco Williams
- 76'
Sub
Jean-Philippe Mateta → Edward Nketiah
- 76'
Sub
Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 77'
Yellow
Daichi Kamada
- 78'
Yellow
Morgan Gibbs-White
- 81'
Sub
Murillo → Morato
- 82'
Yellow
Ola Aina
- 82'
Yellow
Ryan Yates
- 87'
Sub
Daichi Kamada → Jefferson Lerma
- 90+13'
Yellow
Edward Nketiah
- 90+13'
Yellow
Morato
Category leaders
- Key passesMarc Guéhi3
- Duels wonElliot Anderson11/26
- DribblesEberechi Eze3/4
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson7
- ShotsMaxence Lacroix3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonIsmaïla Sarr4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.