Nottingham Forest 2-2 Leicester
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 15 (4 on target) – 10 (6)
- Decisive moment: 56' Chris Wood, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Morgan Gibbs-White 8.3Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)
Game state
0-11-12-12-2
Nottingham Forest ahead 25 min · level 56 min · Leicester ahead 9 min
- Facundo Buonanotte — off the bench 29 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
16'
Conor Coady
Goal
+0.7
25'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2
+0.8
56'
Chris Wood
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.3
+0.9
81'
Facundo Buonanotte
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jamie Vardy +0.2
+0.8
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Leicester
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Nottingham ForestLeicester
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.05
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
41 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.3 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.05 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 15 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 41.6% | |
| Passes | 433 | 358.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 77.8% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11 | |
Leicester
40 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 1.05 | 0.76 | |
| xG against | 1.3 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 10 | 9.4 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 16.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 44% | 47% | |
| Passes | 347 | 443.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81.6% | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.4 | |
Timeline
- 16'
Goal
Conor Coady league goal #1
- 25'
Goal
Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #6 assist Anthony Elanga
- 39'
Yellow
James Justin
- 56'
Goal
Chris Wood league goal #20 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 58'
Yellow
Luke Thomas
- 60'
Yellow
Morato
- 60'
Sub
Oliver Skipp → Boubakary Soumaré
- 61'
Sub
Jordan Ayew → Facundo Buonanotte
- 69'
Yellow
Ola Aina
- 73'
Yellow
Elliot Anderson
- 74'
Sub
Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 77'
Sub
Luke Thomas → Victor Kristiansen
- 77'
Sub
Kasey McAteer → Jeremy Monga
- 79'
Yellow
Facundo Buonanotte
- 81'
Goal
Facundo Buonanotte league goal #5 assist Jamie Vardy
- 83'
Sub
Ibrahim Sangaré → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 90+1'
Sub
Elliot Anderson → Jota Silva
- 90+3'
Sub
Bilal El Khannouss → Caleb Okoli
Category leaders
- Key passesAnthony Elanga3
- Duels wonElliot Anderson11/24
- DribblesAnthony Elanga2/3
- Defensive actionsIbrahim Sangaré6
- ShotsMorgan Gibbs-White4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonAnthony Elanga4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.