Udinese 1-2 Monza
Key numbers
- Possession 60% – 40%
- Shots 21 (5 on target) – 5 (2)
- Decisive moment: 90' Keita Baldé, FN xPts +1.8
Lorenzo Lucca 75'
HT 0:0
Gianluca Caprari 52'
Keita Baldé 90'
Keita Baldé 90'
Udinese 12th · 44 pts|Monza 20th · 18 pts
Udinese edged xG (1.64–1.6) but Monza took the win.
Player of the matchGianluca CaprariDecisive moment90' Keita Baldé+1.8
Player of the match
Gianluca Caprari Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Udinese ahead 0 min · level 67 min · Monza ahead 23 min
- Lorenzo Lucca — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
- Kevin Zeroli — off the bench 25 min · 0G 1A
- Keita Baldé — off the bench 25 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
52'
Gianluca Caprari
Goal
+1.1
75'
Lorenzo Lucca
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Jesper Karlström +0.3
+1.0
90'
Keita Baldé
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Kevin Zeroli +0.5
+1.8
Udinese
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
Monza
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +2.9Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
UdineseMonza
60%Possession40%
1.64Expected goals (xG)1.6
0.08xG per shot0.32
21Shots5
5Shots on target2
24%Shots on target %40%
11Shots in box5
486Passes341
88%Pass accuracy81%
7Corners0
0Saves4
21Fouls8
2Yellow cards3
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Udinese
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 1.64 | 0.96 | |
| xG against | 1.6 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 21 | 11.3 | high |
| On target | 5 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 12.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 60% | 47.9% | |
| Passes | 486 | 398 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 81.4% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 21 | 13.9 |
Monza
38 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 0.74 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.6 | 0.73 | |
| xG against | 1.64 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 5 | 9.3 | |
| On target | 2 | 2.9 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 14.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.32 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 40% | 48.8% | |
| Passes | 341 | 425.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83.1% | |
| Corners | 0 | 3.9 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 13.7 |
Timeline
- 13' Yellow Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
- 46' Sub Oier Zarraga → Sandi Lovrić
- 46' Sub Jaka Bijol → Lorenzo Lucca
- 50' Yellow Arthur Atta
- 52' Goal Gianluca Caprari league goal #3
- 63' Sub Martín Payero → Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
- 65' Sub Omari Forson → Keita Baldé
- 65' Sub Gaetano Castrovilli → Kevin Zeroli
- 70' Sub Keinan Davis → Iker Bravo
- 75' Sub Arthur Atta → Simone Pafundi
- 75' Goal Lorenzo Lucca league goal #11 assist Jesper Karlström
- 78' Sub Alessandro Bianco → Stefano Sensi
- 84' Sub Gianluca Caprari → Andrea Petagna
- 84' Sub Georgios Kyriakopoulos → Patrick Ciurria
- 90' Goal Keita Baldé league goal #2 assist Kevin Zeroli
- 90+1' Yellow Keita Baldé
- 90+3' Yellow Lorenzo Lucca
- 90+3' Yellow Pedro Pereira
Category leaders
- Key passesRui Modesto5
- Duels wonJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro11/15
- DribblesMartín Payero3/5
- Defensive actionsAndrea Carboni6
- ShotsLorenzo Lucca4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonLorenzo Lucca5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.