West Ham 1-2 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 61% – 39%
- Shots 16 (5 on target) – 10 (5)
- Decisive moment: 11' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +0.7
Jarrod Bowen 86'
HT 0:1
Morgan Gibbs-White 11'
Nikola Milenković 61'
Nikola Milenković 61'
West Ham 15th · 40 pts|Nottingham Forest 7th · 65 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.13–1.96).
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment11' Morgan Gibbs-White+0.7
Player of the match
Neco Williams Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
West Ham ahead 0 min · level 11 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 79 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
11'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal
+0.7
61'
Nikola Milenković
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Anthony Elanga +0.2
+0.5
86'
Jarrod Bowen
Goal
+0.2
West Ham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
West HamNottingham Forest
61%Possession39%
1.13Expected goals (xG)1.96
0.07xG per shot0.2
16Shots10
5Shots on target5
31%Shots on target %50%
13Shots in box7
499Passes326
87%Pass accuracy79%
8Corners7
3Saves4
14Fouls7
6Yellow cards3
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
West Ham
39 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.13 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.96 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 16 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.7 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 15.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 61% | 47.6% | |
| Passes | 499 | 431.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 81.8% | |
| Corners | 8 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.5 |
Nottingham Forest
42 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.96 | 1 | |
| xG against | 1.13 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 12.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 13.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 39% | 41.9% | |
| Passes | 326 | 360.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 78% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11 |
Timeline
- 11' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #7
- 45+2' Yellow Vladimír Coufal
- 52' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 57' Yellow Guido Rodríguez
- 58' Sub Guido Rodríguez → Lucas Paquetá
- 58' Sub Tomáš Souček → Niclas Füllkrug
- 58' Sub Aaron Cresswell → Edson Álvarez
- 59' Sub James Ward-Prowse → Carlos Soler
- 61' Goal Nikola Milenković league goal #5 assist Anthony Elanga
- 76' Yellow Lucas Paquetá
- 79' Sub Mohammed Kudus → Luis Guilherme
- 83' Sub Elliot Anderson → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 83' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Morato
- 84' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Danilo
- 86' Goal Jarrod Bowen league goal #12
- 90' Yellow Jean-Clair Todibo
- 90+5' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jota Silva
- 90+5' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 90+15' Yellow Edson Álvarez
- 90+15' Yellow Morato
- 90+15' Yellow Murillo
- 90+16' Yellow Carlos Soler
Category leaders
- Key passesCarlos Soler4
- Duels wonNeco Williams12/16
- DribblesJarrod Bowen2/8
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams13
- Fouls wonNeco Williams3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.