La Liga · Matchweek 37
Marcos Alonso 10' (pen)
HT 1:2
Isi Palazón 17'
Jorge de Frutos 45+2'
Sun, 18 May 2025, 18:00 (UK) · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo 7th · 52 pts|Rayo Vallecano 8th · 51 pts

Celta Vigo edged xG (2.64–1.03) but Rayo Vallecano took the win.

Player of the matchAlfonso Espino7.3Decisive moment45+2' Jorge de Frutos+1.2

Celta Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano

Key numbers

  • Possession 62% – 38%
  • Shots 24 (7 on target) – 7 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 45+2' Jorge de Frutos, FN xPts +1.2
Player of the match
Alfonso Espino 7.3Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.3 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-11-2
Celta Vigo ahead 7 min · level 38 min · Rayo Vallecano ahead 45 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

10' Marcos Alonso Pen goal +0.8
17' Isi Palazón Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Alfonso Espino +0.2 +0.7
45+2' Jorge de Frutos Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Florian Lejeune +0.4 +1.2
Celta Vigo Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Rayo Vallecano Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Celta VigoRayo Vallecano
62%Possession38%
2.64Expected goals (xG)1.03
0.11xG per shot0.15
24Shots7
7Shots on target2
29%Shots on target %29%
16Shots in box3
482Passes293
87%Pass accuracy79%
9Corners2
0Saves5
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
2Offsides3

Compared with usual

Celta Vigo

last 23 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.7
Conceded21.5
xG2.641.2
xG against1.031
Shots2411.6high
On target74.8
Shots faced710.5
xG per shot0.110.12
Possession62%52.5%
Passes482510
Pass accuracy87%84.2%
Corners94.3
Fouls1013.3

Rayo Vallecano

last 28 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.2
Conceded11.4
xG1.031.1
xG against2.641.2
Shots713.8
On target24.9
Shots faced2412.3high
xG per shot0.150.08
Possession38%53.6%
Passes293445.2low
Pass accuracy79%80.3%
Corners25
Fouls1713.5

Timeline

  • 10' Goal Marcos Alonso (pen) league goal #3
  • 17' Goal Isi Palazón league goal #4 assist Alfonso Espino
  • 32' Yellow Marcos Alonso
  • 45+2' Goal Jorge de Frutos league goal #6 assist Florian Lejeune
  • 57' Yellow Óscar Valentín
  • 60' Sub Adrián Embarba → Álvaro García
  • 60' Sub Óscar Valentín → Gerard Gumbau
  • 61' Sub Alfonso Espino → Josep Chavarría
  • 68' Yellow Yoel Lago
  • 68' Yellow Florian Lejeune
  • 69' Sub Fer López → Iago Aspas
  • 69' Sub Unai López → Pedro Díaz
  • 79' Sub Mihailo Ristić → Hugo Álvarez
  • 79' Sub Williot Swedberg → Alfon González
  • 84' Sub Marcos Alonso → Carlos Domínguez
  • 84' Sub Pablo Durán → Borja Iglesias
  • 88' Sub Jorge de Frutos → Óscar Trejo
  • 90+4' Yellow Pathé Ismaël Ciss

Category leaders

  • Key passesÓscar Mingueza4
  • Duels wonIlaix Moriba10/12
  • DribblesFer López6/7
  • Defensive actionsPathé Ismaël Ciss6
  • Fouls wonWilliot Swedberg4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.