Nottingham Forest 0-1 Chelsea
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 10 (2 on target) – 6 (2)
- Decisive moment: 50' Levi Colwill, FN xPts +1.0
HT 0:0
Levi Colwill 50'
Nottingham Forest 7th · 65 pts|Chelsea 5th → 3rd · 69 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.2–1.09) but Chelsea took the win.
Player of the matchLevi ColwillDecisive moment50' Levi Colwill+1.0
Player of the match
Levi Colwill Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 50 min · Chelsea ahead 40 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
50'
Levi Colwill
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Pedro Neto +0.3
+1.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestChelsea
52%Possession48%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.09
0.12xG per shot0.18
10Shots6
2Shots on target2
20%Shots on target %33%
8Shots in box4
420Passes409
84%Pass accuracy80%
7Corners4
1Saves2
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
5Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
43 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.09 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 52% | 41.9% | |
| Passes | 420 | 359.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 78% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 11 |
Chelsea
55 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.09 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 6 | 16.4 | |
| On target | 2 | 6.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 10.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 48% | 60.1% | |
| Passes | 409 | 570.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 87.9% | |
| Corners | 4 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.5 |
Timeline
- 32' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 50' Goal Levi Colwill league goal #2 assist Pedro Neto
- 56' Yellow Moisés Caicedo
- 57' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 62' Sub Jadon Sancho → Roméo Lavia
- 68' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Ryan Yates
- 78' Sub Pedro Neto → Malo Gusto
- 79' Yellow Ola Aina
- 79' Yellow Tosin Adarabioyo
- 83' Sub Ola Aina → Jota Silva
- 86' Sub Noni Madueke → Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Category leaders
- Key passesCole Palmer2
- Duels wonNikola Milenković6/7
- DribblesNoni Madueke3/5
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams5
- ShotsChris Wood3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonAnthony Elanga5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.