Premier League · Matchweek 5
1:3
Ladislav Krejčí 8'
HT 1:3
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 31'
Anton Stach 39'
Noah Okafor 45'
Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 15:00 (UK) · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves 20th · 0 pts|Leeds 16th → 8th · 7 pts

Wolves edged xG (1.78–0.48) but Leeds took the win.

Player of the matchAnton Stach8.6Decisive moment39' Anton Stach+0.9

Wolves 1-3 Leeds

Key numbers

  • Possession 56% – 44%
  • Shots 16 (6 on target) – 6 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 39' Anton Stach, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Anton Stach 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-21-3
Wolves ahead 23 min · level 16 min · Leeds ahead 51 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

8' Ladislav Krejčí Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Fer López +0.2 +0.6
31' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Goal +0.6
39' Anton Stach Goal +0.9
45' Noah Okafor Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Anton Stach +0.2 +0.7
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −2.1Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Leeds Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WolvesLeeds
56%Possession44%
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.48
0.11xG per shot0.08
16Shots6
6Shots on target4
38%Shots on target %67%
13Shots in box2
507Passes416
84%Pass accuracy84%
4Corners0
1Saves5
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Offsides2

Compared with usual

Wolves

5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11
Conceded32.2
xG1.780.53
xG against0.481.4
Shots1610.8
On target63.4
Shots faced612.4
xG per shot0.110.06
Possession56%47.2%
Passes507403.6
Pass accuracy84%79.2%
Corners44
Fouls1115.4

Leeds

5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals30.4
Conceded11.4
xG0.480.76
xG against1.781
Shots613.8
On target43
Shots faced168.8
xG per shot0.080.06
Possession44%51%
Passes416446.8
Pass accuracy84%81.8%
Corners05
Fouls99.8

Timeline

  • 8' Goal Ladislav Krejčí league goal #1 assist Fer López
  • 12' Yellow Fer López
  • 31' Goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin league goal #1
  • 39' Goal Anton Stach league goal #1
  • 41' Yellow Jayden Bogle
  • 45' Goal Noah Okafor league goal #1 assist Anton Stach
  • 46' Sub Rodrigo Gomes → Hugo Bueno
  • 46' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Marshall Munetsi
  • 46' Sub Fer López → Jørgen Strand Larsen
  • 70' Sub Noah Okafor → Jack Harrison
  • 72' Sub Yerson Mosquera → André
  • 72' Sub Toti Gomes → Jhon Arias
  • 83' Sub Jayden Bogle → James Justin
  • 83' Sub Sean Longstaff → Ao Tanaka
  • 90+2' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Ilia Gruev
  • 90+2' Sub Dominic Calvert-Lewin → Lukas Nmecha

Category leaders

  • Key passesHugo Bueno3
  • Duels wonEmmanuel Agbadou15/20
  • DribblesNoah Okafor6/14
  • Defensive actionsEmmanuel Agbadou7
  • ShotsTolu Arokodare3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonYerson Mosquera4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.