Premier League · Matchweek 6
Ollie Watkins 37'
John McGinn 49'
Emiliano Buendía 51'
HT 1:1
Raúl Jiménez 3'
Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 14:00 (UK) · Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa 18th → 16th · 6 pts|Fulham 9th → 10th · 8 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.11–0.92).

Player of the matchEmiliano Buendía7.8Decisive moment49' John McGinn+0.9

Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham

Key numbers

  • Possession 48% – 52%
  • Shots 9 (4 on target) – 11 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 49' John McGinn, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Emiliano Buendía 7.8Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)

Game state

0-11-12-13-1
Aston Villa ahead 41 min · level 15 min · Fulham ahead 34 min
  • Emiliano Buendía — off the bench 45 min · 1G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

3' Raúl Jiménez Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Saša Lukić +0.2 +0.7
37' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Lucas Digne +0.2 +0.8
49' John McGinn Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Emiliano Buendía +0.3 +0.9
51' Emiliano Buendía Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Morgan Rogers +0.1 +0.4
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Fulham Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.9Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Aston VillaFulham
48%Possession52%
1.11Expected goals (xG)0.92
0.12xG per shot0.08
9Shots11
4Shots on target4
44%Shots on target %36%
4Shots in box9
403Passes414
84%Pass accuracy86%
2Corners8
3Saves1
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
2Offsides4

Compared with usual

Aston Villa

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals30.43
Conceded10.86
xG1.110.73
xG against0.921.4
Shots910.9
On target43.1
Shots faced1113.1
xG per shot0.120.07
Possession48%56.9%
Passes403455.9
Pass accuracy84%84.1%
Corners25.9
Fouls1011.1

Fulham

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.3
Conceded30.71
xG0.920.77
xG against1.110.98
Shots1110.9
On target43.6
Shots faced99.1
xG per shot0.080.08
Possession52%55.7%
Passes414494.1
Pass accuracy86%85%
Corners84.4
Fouls1312.9

Timeline

  • 3' Goal Raúl Jiménez league goal #1 assist Saša Lukić
  • 11' Sub Raúl Jiménez → Adama Traoré
  • 22' Yellow Joshua King
  • 32' Sub Tyrone Mings → Pau Torres
  • 34' Yellow Saša Lukić
  • 37' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #1 assist Lucas Digne
  • 45+1' Yellow Harry Wilson
  • 45+5' Yellow John McGinn
  • 46' Sub Harvey Elliott → Emiliano Buendía
  • 49' Goal John McGinn league goal #1 assist Emiliano Buendía
  • 51' Goal Emiliano Buendía league goal #1 assist Morgan Rogers
  • 55' Yellow Calvin Bassey
  • 65' Sub Joshua King → Emile Smith Rowe
  • 65' Sub Alex Iwobi → Kevin
  • 72' Sub John McGinn → Boubacar Kamara
  • 80' Sub Ryan Sessegnon → Antonee Robinson
  • 80' Sub Harry Wilson → Samuel Chukwueze
  • 82' Sub Lamare Bogarde → Victor Lindelöf
  • 83' Sub Evann Guessand → Donyell Malen

Category leaders

  • Key passesMorgan Rogers2
  • Duels wonEvann Guessand7/15
  • DribblesEvann Guessand4/7
  • Defensive actionsRyan Sessegnon6
  • Fouls wonSaša Lukić3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.