Nottingham Forest 0-1 Sunderland
Key numbers
- Possession 65% – 35%
- Shots 22 (6 on target) – 11 (3)
- Decisive moment: 38' Omar Alderete, FN xPts +1.0
HT 0:1
Omar Alderete 38'
Nottingham Forest 16th · 5 pts|Sunderland 8th → 3rd · 11 pts
Nottingham Forest edged xG (1.68–1.66) but Sunderland took the win.
Player of the matchRobin RoefsDecisive moment38' Omar Alderete+1.0
Player of the match
Robin Roefs Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 38 min · Sunderland ahead 52 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
38'
Omar Alderete
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Granit Xhaka +0.3
+1.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −1.0→ League points won 0
Sunderland
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestSunderland
65%Possession35%
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.66
0.08xG per shot0.15
22Shots11
6Shots on target3
27%Shots on target %27%
15Shots in box8
578Passes318
90%Pass accuracy81%
7Corners4
2Saves6
11Fouls6
4Yellow cards2
0Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | |
| xG | 1.68 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.66 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 22 | 12.3 | |
| On target | 6 | 3.9 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 11.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 65% | 54% | |
| Passes | 578 | 496.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 86% | |
| Corners | 7 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.4 |
Sunderland
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.83 | |
| xG | 1.66 | 0.74 | |
| xG against | 1.68 | 0.89 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 2.8 | |
| Shots faced | 22 | 10.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 35% | 48.7% | |
| Passes | 318 | 435 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 80.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 9.3 |
Timeline
- 9' Yellow Noah Sadiki
- 31' Yellow Arthur Masuaku
- 36' Yellow Nicolás Domínguez
- 38' Yellow Nikola Milenković
- 38' Goal Omar Alderete league goal #1 assist Granit Xhaka
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Morgan Gibbs-White
- 49' Yellow Neco Williams
- 59' Sub Chris Rigg → Bertrand Traoré
- 59' Sub Arthur Masuaku → Lutsharel Geertruida
- 60' Sub Dan Ndoye → Igor Jesus
- 60' Sub James McAtee → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 72' Sub Dilane Bakwa → Omari Hutchinson
- 75' Sub Enzo Le Fée → Daniel Ballard
- 82' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 85' Sub Wilson Isidor → Brian Brobbey
- 85' Sub Chemsdine Talbi → Simon Adingra
- 90' Sub Chris Wood → Arnaud Kalimuendo
Category leaders
- Key passesNeco Williams4
- Duels wonNeco Williams9/16
- DribblesNeco Williams2/2
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson5
- ShotsChris Wood6 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonNoah Sadiki5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.