UEFA Champions League · League phase MD2
HT 0:1
Kylian Mbappé 25' (pen)
Kylian Mbappé 52'
Kylian Mbappé 73'
Eduardo Camavinga 83'
Brahim Díaz 90'
Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 17:45 (UK) · Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Kairat Almaty 34th → 36th · 0 pts|Real Madrid 12th → 1st · 6 pts

Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.43–3.54).

Player of the matchKylian Mbappé9.2Decisive moment25' Kylian Mbappé+0.6

Kairat Almaty 0-5 Real Madrid

Key numbers

  • Possession 33% – 67%
  • Shots 11 (4 on target) – 20 (12)
  • Decisive moment: 25' Kylian Mbappé, FN xPts +0.6
Player of the match
Kylian Mbappé 9.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.2 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-20-30-40-5
Kairat Almaty ahead 0 min · level 25 min · Real Madrid ahead 65 min
  • Brahim Díaz — off the bench 20 min · 1G 0A
  • Rodrygo — off the bench 20 min · 0G 1A
  • Eduardo Camavinga — off the bench 10 min · 1G 0A
  • Gonzalo García — off the bench 9 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

25' Kylian Mbappé Pen goal +0.6
52' Kylian Mbappé Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Thibaut Courtois +0.1 +0.3
73' Kylian Mbappé Goal · assist Arda Güler 0.0
83' Eduardo Camavinga Goal · assist Rodrygo 0.0
90' Brahim Díaz Goal · assist Gonzalo García 0.0
Kairat Almaty Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.7Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Real Madrid Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Kairat AlmatyReal Madrid
33%Possession67%
0.43Expected goals (xG)3.54
0.04xG per shot0.18
11Shots20
4Shots on target12
36%Shots on target %60%
4Shots in box13
294Passes617
77%Pass accuracy88%
3Corners6
7Saves4
6Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
1Offsides0

Compared with usual

Real Madrid

8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals52.3high
Conceded01.1
xG3.542.2
xG against0.431.2
Shots2018.9
On target127.5
Shots faced1110.9
xG per shot0.180.12high
Possession67%58.9%
Passes617582.6
Pass accuracy88%88.4%
Corners65.9
Fouls99.8

Timeline

  • 25' Goal Kylian Mbappé (pen) competition goal #3
  • 48' Yellow Valeriy Gromyko
  • 52' Goal Kylian Mbappé competition goal #4 assist Thibaut Courtois
  • 54' Yellow Ofri Arad
  • 64' Sub Ofri Arad → Olzhas Baibek
  • 64' Sub Jorginho → Edmilson
  • 64' Sub Erkin Tapalov → Jug Stanojev
  • 69' VAR Valeriy Gromyko
  • 70' Sub Franco Mastantuono → Rodrygo
  • 70' Sub Vinícius Júnior → Brahim Díaz
  • 73' Goal Kylian Mbappé competition goal #5 assist Arda Güler
  • 80' Sub Valeriy Gromyko → Giorgi Zaria
  • 80' Sub Dastan Satpaev → Ricardinho
  • 81' Sub Arda Güler → Jude Bellingham
  • 81' Sub Aurélien Tchouaméni → Eduardo Camavinga
  • 81' Sub Kylian Mbappé → Gonzalo García
  • 83' Goal Eduardo Camavinga competition goal #1 assist Rodrygo
  • 90' Goal Brahim Díaz competition goal #1 assist Gonzalo García

Category leaders

  • Key passesArda Güler4
  • Duels wonDean Huijsen13/16
  • DribblesDean Huijsen4/4
  • Defensive actionsDean Huijsen8
  • ShotsKylian Mbappé8 (on target 5)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.