La Liga · Matchweek 7
Arnaut Danjuma 4'
HT 1:0
Luka Ilić 85'
Salomón Rondón 86'
Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 19:00 (UK) · Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia 12th · 8 pts|Oviedo 19th → 14th · 6 pts

Valencia edged xG (1.51–0.77) but Oviedo took the win.

Player of the matchLucas Ahijado8.0Decisive moment86' Salomón Rondón+1.6

Valencia 1-2 Oviedo

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 16 (5 on target) – 10 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 86' Salomón Rondón, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Lucas Ahijado 8.0Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-2
Valencia ahead 81 min · level 5 min · Oviedo ahead 4 min
  • Luka Ilić — off the bench 27 min · 1G 0A
  • Salomón Rondón — off the bench 14 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

4' Arnaut Danjuma Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Luis Rioja +0.2 +0.6
85' Luka Ilić Goal +0.8
86' Salomón Rondón Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Lucas Ahijado +0.5 +1.6
90+2' Luka Ilić Red card −0.1
Valencia Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −2.5Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Oviedo Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ValenciaOviedo
57%Possession43%
1.51Expected goals (xG)0.77
0.09xG per shot0.08
16Shots10
5Shots on target4
31%Shots on target %40%
12Shots in box5
541Passes414
87%Pass accuracy82%
5Corners4
2Saves4
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards4
1Offsides4

Compared with usual

Valencia

6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.3
Conceded21.7
xG1.511.1
xG against0.771.6
Shots168.2
On target52.5
Shots faced1016
xG per shot0.090.13
Possession57%45.2%
Passes541361.3
Pass accuracy87%78.2%
Corners55.3
Fouls1411

Oviedo

6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.33
Conceded11.8
xG0.770.75
xG against1.511.8
Shots107.2
On target42.7
Shots faced1619.3
xG per shot0.080.11
Possession43%37%
Passes414341.5
Pass accuracy82%79.2%
Corners42.5
Fouls1211.5

Timeline

  • 4' Goal Arnaut Danjuma league goal #3 assist Luis Rioja
  • 55' Sub Hugo Duro → Lucas Beltrán
  • 55' Sub Javier Guerra → Pepelu
  • 55' Sub André Almeida → Diego López
  • 56' Yellow César Tárrega
  • 61' Yellow Federico Viñas
  • 65' Sub Josip Brekalo → Luka Ilić
  • 71' Yellow Luka Ilić
  • 73' VAR Mouctar Diakhaby
  • 74' Yellow Alberto Reina
  • 76' Sub Alberto Reina → Ilyas Chaira
  • 76' Sub Federico Viñas → Salomón Rondón
  • 78' Sub Arnaut Danjuma → Dani Raba
  • 85' Goal Luka Ilić league goal #1
  • 86' Sub Luis Rioja → Largie Ramazani
  • 86' Goal Salomón Rondón league goal #1 assist Lucas Ahijado
  • 88' Sub Haissem Hassan → David Costas
  • 90+2' Second yellow Luka Ilić

Category leaders

  • Key passesLuis Rioja3
  • Duels wonFederico Viñas11/15
  • DribblesLuis Rioja2/6
  • Defensive actionsLucas Ahijado6
  • ShotsArnaut Danjuma6 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonFederico Viñas5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.