Nottingham Forest 2-3 FC Midtjylland
Key numbers
- Possession 61% – 39%
- Shots 22 (9 on target) – 8 (5)
- Decisive moment: 24' Mads Bech Sørensen, FN xPts +0.9
Dan Ndoye 22'
Chris Wood 90' (pen)
Chris Wood 90' (pen)
HT 1:2
Ousmane Diao 18'
Mads Bech Sørensen 24'
Valdemar Byskov 88'
Mads Bech Sørensen 24'
Valdemar Byskov 88'
Nottingham Forest 21st → 25th · 1 pt|FC Midtjylland 8th → 1st · 6 pts
FC Midtjylland won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.05–2.1).
Player of the matchMads Bech SørensenDecisive moment24' Mads Bech Sørensen+0.9
Player of the match
Mads Bech Sørensen Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 20 min · FC Midtjylland ahead 70 min
- Chris Wood — off the bench 15 min · 1G 0A
- Darío Osorio — off the bench 32 min · 0G 1A
- Valdemar Byskov — off the bench 23 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
18'
Ousmane Diao
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mads Bech Sørensen +0.2
+0.8
22'
Dan Ndoye
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Gibbs-White +0.2
+0.8
24'
Mads Bech Sørensen
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Martin Erlić +0.3
+0.9
88'
Valdemar Byskov
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Darío Osorio +0.1
+0.3
90'
Chris Wood
Pen goal
+0.1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −1.1→ League points won 0
FC Midtjylland
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.8Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestFC Midtjylland
61%Possession39%
2.05Expected goals (xG)2.1
0.09xG per shot0.26
22Shots8
9Shots on target5
41%Shots on target %63%
12Shots in box6
466Passes287
86%Pass accuracy78%
10Corners8
1Saves7
14Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
3Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 2.05 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 2.1 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 22 | 13.5 | |
| On target | 9 | 4.1 | high |
| Shots faced | 8 | 11.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 61% | 55.4% | |
| Passes | 466 | 506.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86.5% | |
| Corners | 10 | 5.1 | high |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 1' Yellow Morato
- 18' Goal Ousmane Diao assist Mads Bech Sørensen
- 22' Goal Dan Ndoye competition goal #1 assist Morgan Gibbs-White
- 24' Goal Mads Bech Sørensen assist Martin Erlić
- 28' Sub Murillo → Nicolò Savona
- 55' Yellow Kevin Mbabu
- 58' Sub Aral Şimşir → Darío Osorio
- 66' Sub Kevin Mbabu → Han-Beom Lee
- 66' Sub Denil Castillo → Pedro Bravo
- 66' Sub Gue-sung Cho → Valdemar Byskov
- 72' Yellow Igor Jesus
- 75' Sub Igor Jesus → Chris Wood
- 76' Yellow Morgan Gibbs-White
- 87' Sub Júnior Brumado → Franculino Djú
- 88' Goal Valdemar Byskov assist Darío Osorio
- 90' Goal Chris Wood (pen) competition goal #1
- 90+1' VAR Elliot Anderson
- 90+4' Yellow Ousmane Diao
Category leaders
- Key passesElliot Anderson6
- Duels wonElliot Anderson12/18
- DribblesDan Ndoye3/6
- Defensive actionsMorato5
- ShotsDan Ndoye3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson8
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.