Premier League · Matchweek 7
Moisés Caicedo 14'
Estêvão 90'
HT 1:0
Cody Gakpo 63'
Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 17:30 (UK) · Stamford Bridge, London
Chelsea 9th → 6th · 11 pts|Liverpool 2nd · 15 pts

Liverpool edged xG (1–1.95) but Chelsea took the win.

Player of the matchMarc Cucurella8.4Decisive moment90' Estêvão+1.6

Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool

Key numbers

  • Possession 53% – 47%
  • Shots 12 (6 on target) – 12 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Estêvão, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Marc Cucurella 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Chelsea ahead 49 min · level 41 min · Liverpool ahead 0 min
  • Estêvão — off the bench 15 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

14' Moisés Caicedo Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Malo Gusto +0.2 +0.7
63' Cody Gakpo Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Alexander Isak +0.2 +0.8
90' Estêvão Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Marc Cucurella +0.5 +1.6
Chelsea Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Liverpool Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ChelseaLiverpool
53%Possession47%
1Expected goals (xG)1.95
0.08xG per shot0.16
12Shots12
6Shots on target2
50%Shots on target %17%
6Shots in box8
508Passes450
83%Pass accuracy82%
7Corners2
1Saves4
9Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
2Offsides2

Compared with usual

Chelsea

9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.7
Conceded11.3
xG11.3
xG against1.951.2
Shots1212.1
On target64
Shots faced1211.7
xG per shot0.080.11
Possession53%60.2%
Passes508534
Pass accuracy83%87.9%low
Corners75
Fouls910.2

Liverpool

9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded21.2
xG1.951.5
xG against10.99
Shots1215.2
On target24.7low
Shots faced1210.1
xG per shot0.160.09high
Possession47%63.3%low
Passes450556.3
Pass accuracy82%86.4%
Corners25.7
Fouls89.6

Timeline

  • 14' Goal Moisés Caicedo league goal #3 assist Malo Gusto
  • 34' Yellow Conor Bradley
  • 46' Sub Conor Bradley → Florian Wirtz
  • 55' Sub Benoît Badiashile → Roméo Lavia
  • 55' Sub Miloš Kerkez → Andrew Robertson
  • 56' Sub Ibrahima Konaté → Curtis Jones
  • 63' Goal Cody Gakpo league goal #2 assist Alexander Isak
  • 68' Sub Josh Acheampong → Jorrel Hato
  • 74' Sub João Pedro → Marc Guiu
  • 74' Sub Alexander Isak → Hugo Ekitiké
  • 75' Sub Alejandro Garnacho → Jamie Gittens
  • 75' Sub Pedro Neto → Estêvão
  • 79' Yellow Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 86' Sub Alexis Mac Allister → Wataru Endo
  • 90' Goal Estêvão league goal #1 assist Marc Cucurella

Category leaders

  • Key passesMohamed Salah4
  • Duels wonReece James8/10
  • DribblesPedro Neto2/2
  • Defensive actionsReece James8
  • Fouls wonMarc Cucurella3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.