Newcastle 2-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 51% – 49%
- Shots 18 (9 on target) – 5 (4)
- Decisive moment: 58' Bruno Guimarães, FN xPts +0.9
Bruno Guimarães 58'
Nick Woltemade 84' (pen)
Nick Woltemade 84' (pen)
HT 0:0
Newcastle 15th → 10th · 9 pts|Nottingham Forest 17th · 5 pts
Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.45–0.3).
Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesDecisive moment58' Bruno Guimarães+0.9
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Newcastle ahead 32 min · level 58 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
58'
Bruno Guimarães
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Dan Burn +0.3
+0.9
84'
Nick Woltemade
Pen goal
+0.2
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
NewcastleNottingham Forest
51%Possession49%
3.45Expected goals (xG)0.3
0.19xG per shot0.06
18Shots5
9Shots on target4
50%Shots on target %80%
13Shots in box4
464Passes452
83%Pass accuracy82%
8Corners1
4Saves7
16Fouls15
0Yellow cards4
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
Newcastle
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.89 | |
| xG | 3.45 | 1 | high |
| xG against | 0.3 | 0.75 | |
| Shots | 18 | 12.4 | |
| On target | 9 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.19 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 51% | 51.4% | |
| Passes | 464 | 438.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 79.3% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.6 |
Nottingham Forest
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| xG | 0.3 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 3.45 | 1.3 | high |
| Shots | 5 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 11.1 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 49% | 56% | |
| Passes | 452 | 502 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 86.4% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.7 | low |
| Fouls | 15 | 11.7 |
Timeline
- 32' Yellow Ryan Yates
- 34' Yellow Neco Williams
- 58' Goal Bruno Guimarães league goal #2 assist Dan Burn
- 64' Sub Chris Wood → Igor Jesus
- 64' Sub Ryan Yates → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 65' Sub Dan Ndoye → Omari Hutchinson
- 68' Yellow Morato
- 70' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
- 70' Sub Anthony Gordon → Harvey Barnes
- 77' Sub Morato → Dilane Bakwa
- 83' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 84' Goal Nick Woltemade (pen) league goal #3
- 90+2' Sub Nick Woltemade → William Osula
- 90+2' Sub Joelinton → Lewis Miley
Category leaders
- Key passesKieran Trippier3
- Duels wonBruno Guimarães10/16
- DribblesElliot Anderson3/4
- Defensive actionsJair5
- ShotsJoelinton3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonBruno Guimarães5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.