Real Madrid 3-1 Villarreal
Key numbers
- Possession 70% – 30%
- Shots 26 (7 on target) – 9 (2)
- Decisive moment: 47' Vinícius Júnior, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Vinícius Júnior 9.7Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.7 (Dominant)
Game state
1-02-02-13-1
Real Madrid ahead 43 min · level 47 min · Villarreal ahead 0 min
- Villarreal: Red card 77' → ~13 min a player down
- Brahim Díaz — off the bench 15 min · 0G 1A
- Georges Mikautadze — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
47'
Vinícius Júnior
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Kylian Mbappé +0.2
+0.7
69'
Vinícius Júnior
Pen goal
+0.3
73'
Georges Mikautadze
Goal · assist Pape Gueye
+0.1
77'
Santiago Mouriño
Red card
−0.1
81'
Kylian Mbappé
Goal · assist Brahim Díaz
+0.1
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −0.1Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Real MadridVillarreal
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| xG | 3.52 | 2.4 | |
| xG against | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 26 | 19 | |
| On target | 7 | 8 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 10.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 70% | 59.8% | |
| Passes | 711 | 586.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 88.3% | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 9.7 | |
Villarreal
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.89 | high |
| xG | 1 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 3.52 | 1 | high |
| Shots | 9 | 15.4 | |
| On target | 2 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 26 | 9.8 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 30% | 47.2% | low |
| Passes | 317 | 433.2 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 84.1% | |
| Corners | 0 | 5.4 | low |
| Fouls | 14 | 10.9 | |
Timeline
- 12'
Yellow
Sergi Cardona
- 21'
Yellow
Santiago Mouriño
- 33'
Yellow
Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 45+1'
Yellow
Franco Mastantuono
- 46'
Sub
Alberto Moleiro → Georges Mikautadze
- 46'
Sub
Tajon Buchanan → Nicolas Pépé
- 47'
Goal
Vinícius Júnior league goal #4 assist Kylian Mbappé
- 64'
Sub
Arda Güler → Jude Bellingham
- 64'
Sub
Dani Ceballos → Eduardo Camavinga
- 69'
Yellow
Pape Gueye
- 69'
Goal
Vinícius Júnior (pen) league goal #5
- 73'
Sub
Pape Gueye → Alfonso Pedraza
- 73'
Goal
Georges Mikautadze league goal #2 assist Pape Gueye
- 75'
Sub
Franco Mastantuono → Brahim Díaz
- 77'
Second yellow
Santiago Mouriño
- 81'
Goal
Kylian Mbappé league goal #9 assist Brahim Díaz
- 82'
Sub
Tani Oluwaseyi → Adrià Altimira
- 83'
Sub
Kylian Mbappé → Rodrygo
- 86'
Sub
Santi Comesaña → Dani Parejo
Category leaders
- Key passesVinícius Júnior6
- Duels wonVinícius Júnior11/20
- DribblesVinícius Júnior6/12
- Defensive actionsSanti Comesaña10
- ShotsVinícius Júnior3 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonFranco Mastantuono3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.