Premier League · Matchweek 8
Danny Welbeck 41'
Danny Welbeck 84'
HT 1:0
Nick Woltemade 76'
Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 15:00 (UK) · Amex Stadium, Brighton
Brighton 12th → 8th · 12 pts|Newcastle 11th → 12th · 9 pts

Newcastle edged xG (0.91–1.45) but Brighton took the win.

Player of the matchDanny Welbeck8.7Decisive moment84' Danny Welbeck+1.5

Brighton 2-1 Newcastle

Key numbers

  • Possession 46% – 54%
  • Shots 13 (5 on target) – 16 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 84' Danny Welbeck, FN xPts +1.5
Player of the match
Danny Welbeck 8.7Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Brighton ahead 41 min · level 49 min · Newcastle ahead 0 min
  • Lewis Miley — off the bench 45 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

41' Danny Welbeck Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Georginio Rutter +0.3 +0.9
76' Nick Woltemade Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Lewis Miley +0.3 +0.9
84' Danny Welbeck Goal +1.5
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −1.3Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrightonNewcastle
46%Possession54%
0.91Expected goals (xG)1.45
0.07xG per shot0.09
13Shots16
5Shots on target3
38%Shots on target %19%
6Shots in box10
421Passes491
81%Pass accuracy85%
8Corners4
2Saves3
9Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
3Offsides1

Compared with usual

Brighton

9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.4
Conceded11.1
xG0.911.3
xG against1.451
Shots1313
On target55.7
Shots faced1610.9
xG per shot0.070.11
Possession46%50%
Passes421420.7
Pass accuracy81%83.6%
Corners84.6
Fouls913.7

Newcastle

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.5
Conceded20.8
xG1.451.3
xG against0.910.71
Shots1613
On target34.8
Shots faced1310.4
xG per shot0.090.1
Possession54%51.4%
Passes491440.7
Pass accuracy85%79.7%
Corners46.1
Fouls911.1

Timeline

  • 36' Sub Diego Gómez → Maxim De Cuyper
  • 41' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #3 assist Georginio Rutter
  • 46' Sub Anthony Elanga → Jacob Murphy
  • 46' Sub Joelinton → Lewis Miley
  • 70' Sub Sandro Tonali → Jacob Ramsey
  • 70' Sub Anthony Gordon → Harvey Barnes
  • 71' Sub Carlos Baleba → James Milner
  • 71' Sub Georginio Rutter → Stefanos Tzimas
  • 76' Goal Nick Woltemade league goal #4 assist Lewis Miley
  • 84' Goal Danny Welbeck league goal #4
  • 86' Sub Bruno Guimarães → William Osula
  • 89' Sub Yankuba Minteh → Diego Coppola
  • 90' Sub Danny Welbeck → Charalampos Kostoulas
  • 90+7' Yellow Dan Burn

Category leaders

  • Key passesYasin Ayari3
  • Duels wonYankuba Minteh9/13
  • DribblesAnthony Gordon4/12
  • Defensive actionsDan Burn8
  • ShotsNick Woltemade3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonJan Paul van Hecke3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.