Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
Christoph Baumgartner 45'
Christoph Baumgartner 50'
HT 1:0
Albert Sambi Lokonga 48'
Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:30 (UK) · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig · 16 pts|Hamburger SV · 8 pts

Hamburger SV edged xG (1.06–1.53) but RB Leipzig took the win.

Player of the matchChristoph Baumgartner8.2Decisive moment45' Christoph Baumgartner+0.7

RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburger SV

Key numbers

  • Possession 47% – 53%
  • Shots 10 (4 on target) – 15 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 45' Christoph Baumgartner, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Christoph Baumgartner 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-12-1
RB Leipzig ahead 43 min · level 47 min · Hamburger SV ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

45' Christoph Baumgartner Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Antonio Nusa +0.2 +0.7
48' Albert Sambi Lokonga Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Miro Muheim +0.2 +0.5
50' Christoph Baumgartner Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Rômulo +0.2 +0.7
RB Leipzig Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Hamburger SV Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

RB LeipzigHamburger SV
47%Possession53%
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.53
0.11xG per shot0.1
10Shots15
4Shots on target3
40%Shots on target %20%
5Shots in box10
468Passes518
84%Pass accuracy86%
3Corners5
2Saves2
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
0Offsides1

Compared with usual

RB Leipzig

7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.7
Conceded11.4
xG1.061.6
xG against1.531.3
Shots1018.1
On target44.6
Shots faced1513.3
xG per shot0.110.09
Possession47%52.6%
Passes468453
Pass accuracy84%83.6%
Corners37.1
Fouls139.9

Hamburger SV

last 6 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11
Conceded21.3
xG1.531.1
xG against1.061.7
Shots1512.3
On target35
Shots faced1016.3
xG per shot0.10.08
Possession53%44.3%
Passes518388
Pass accuracy86%81.3%
Corners52.7
Fouls1213.8

Timeline

  • 18' Yellow Nicolás Capaldo
  • 43' Yellow Christoph Baumgartner
  • 45' Goal Christoph Baumgartner league goal #3 assist Antonio Nusa
  • 48' Goal Albert Sambi Lokonga league goal #2 assist Miro Muheim
  • 50' Goal Christoph Baumgartner league goal #4 assist Rômulo
  • 61' Sub Johan Bakayoko → Ezechiel Banzuzi
  • 61' Sub Assan Ouédraogo → Yan Diomande
  • 76' Sub Albert Sambi Lokonga → Immanuel Pherai
  • 76' Sub Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer → Yussuf Poulsen
  • 78' Sub Christoph Baumgartner → Xaver Schlager
  • 79' Yellow Yan Diomande
  • 84' Sub William Mikelbrencis → Fabio Baldé
  • 90' Sub Antonio Nusa → Lukas Klostermann
  • 90' Sub Rayan Philippe → Robert Glatzel
  • 90+1' Sub Rômulo → Conrad Harder
  • 90+1' Sub Nicolás Capaldo → Guilherme Ramos
  • 90+5' Yellow Conrad Harder

Category leaders

  • Key passesAssan Ouédraogo2
  • Duels wonAntonio Nusa10/17
  • DribblesAntonio Nusa4/7
  • Defensive actionsNicolas Seiwald10
  • ShotsRansford Yeboah Königsdörffer4 (on target 0)
  • Fouls wonAntonio Nusa6

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.