Premier League · Matchweek 8
Rodrigo Bentancur 5'
HT 1:1
Morgan Rogers 37'
Emiliano Buendía 77'
Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 14:00 (UK) · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Tottenham 5th → 6th · 14 pts|Aston Villa 13th → 10th · 12 pts

Tottenham edged xG (0.75–0.32) but Aston Villa took the win.

Player of the matchJoão Palhinha8.3Decisive moment77' Emiliano Buendía+1.3

Tottenham 1-2 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 53% – 47%
  • Shots 10 (3 on target) – 8 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 77' Emiliano Buendía, FN xPts +1.3
Player of the match
João Palhinha 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-2
Tottenham ahead 32 min · level 45 min · Aston Villa ahead 13 min
  • Emiliano Buendía — off the bench 29 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

5' Rodrigo Bentancur Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist João Palhinha +0.2 +0.6
37' Morgan Rogers Goal +0.7
77' Emiliano Buendía Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Lucas Digne +0.4 +1.3
Tottenham Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

TottenhamAston Villa
53%Possession47%
0.75Expected goals (xG)0.32
0.08xG per shot0.04
10Shots8
3Shots on target2
30%Shots on target %25%
7Shots in box2
382Passes348
88%Pass accuracy84%
6Corners6
0Saves2
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
6Offsides1

Compared with usual

Tottenham

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.9
Conceded20.7
xG0.750.95
xG against0.321.2
Shots1011.2
On target33.5
Shots faced812.6
xG per shot0.080.09
Possession53%55%
Passes382454.2
Pass accuracy88%84.1%
Corners65.9
Fouls1111.7

Aston Villa

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21
Conceded10.8
xG0.320.8
xG against0.751.2
Shots810.6
On target23.6
Shots faced1012.7
xG per shot0.040.08
Possession47%56%
Passes348462
Pass accuracy84%85%
Corners65
Fouls710.7

Timeline

  • 5' Goal Rodrigo Bentancur league goal #1 assist João Palhinha
  • 22' Yellow Micky van de Ven
  • 37' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #1
  • 60' Sub Mathys Tel → Richarlison
  • 61' Sub Donyell Malen → Ollie Watkins
  • 61' Sub Evann Guessand → Emiliano Buendía
  • 67' Yellow Kevin Danso
  • 77' Goal Emiliano Buendía league goal #2 assist Lucas Digne
  • 79' Sub Wilson Odobert → Randal Kolo Muani
  • 79' Sub Xavi Simons → Lucas Bergvall
  • 82' Sub Amadou Onana → Ross Barkley
  • 82' Sub Lucas Digne → Ian Maatsen
  • 86' Sub Djed Spence → Brennan Johnson
  • 86' Sub Rodrigo Bentancur → Pape Matar Sarr

Category leaders

  • Key passesMohammed Kudus3
  • Duels wonBoubacar Kamara14/17
  • DribblesWilson Odobert4/5
  • Defensive actionsJoão Palhinha12
  • Fouls wonBoubacar Kamara4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.