AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
Key numbers
- Possession 56% – 44%
- Shots 14 (4 on target) – 5 (1)
- Decisive moment: 86' Rafael Leão, FN xPts +1.6
Rafael Leão 63'
Rafael Leão 86' (pen)
Rafael Leão 86' (pen)
HT 0:0
Robin Gosens 55'
AC Milan 5th → 1st · 16 pts|Fiorentina 18th · 3 pts
AC Milan won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.98–1.08).
Player of the matchRafael LeãoDecisive moment86' Rafael Leão+1.6
Player of the match
Rafael Leão Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 4 min · level 78 min · Fiorentina ahead 8 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
55'
Robin Gosens
Goal
+1.1
63'
Rafael Leão
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Strahinja Pavlović +0.3
+1.0
86'
Rafael Leão
Pen goal
+1.6
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Fiorentina
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.1Opponent moments −2.1Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanFiorentina
56%Possession44%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.08
0.14xG per shot0.22
14Shots5
4Shots on target1
29%Shots on target %20%
10Shots in box2
485Passes362
87%Pass accuracy85%
1Corners3
1Saves2
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
AC Milan
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.38 | |
| xG | 1.98 | 1.1 | high |
| xG against | 1.08 | 0.64 | |
| Shots | 14 | 16.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 8.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.08 | high |
| Possession | 56% | 55.8% | |
| Passes | 485 | 530.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88.9% | |
| Corners | 1 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 10.3 |
Fiorentina
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.67 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.08 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.98 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 5 | 12 | |
| On target | 1 | 2.3 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 12.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.22 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 44% | 51.3% | |
| Passes | 362 | 389.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 81% | |
| Corners | 3 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 15.2 |
Timeline
- 50' Yellow Zachary Athekame
- 54' Yellow Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 55' Goal Robin Gosens league goal #1
- 57' Sub Zachary Athekame → Santiago Giménez
- 60' Yellow Youssouf Fofana
- 63' Goal Rafael Leão league goal #1 assist Strahinja Pavlović
- 69' Sub Robin Gosens → Fabiano Parisi
- 70' Sub Jacopo Fazzini → Albert Guðmundsson
- 74' Yellow Fikayo Tomori
- 77' Sub Moise Kean → Roberto Piccoli
- 84' VAR Santiago Giménez
- 85' Yellow Fabiano Parisi
- 86' Goal Rafael Leão (pen) league goal #2
- 87' Sub Hans Nicolussi Caviglia → Simon Sohm
- 88' Yellow Luca Ranieri
- 88' Sub Rolando Mandragora → Edin Džeko
- 90' Sub Alexis Saelemaekers → Koni De Winter
- 90+3' Sub Rafael Leão → Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
Category leaders
- Key passesLuka Modrić4
- Duels wonLuka Modrić6/10
- DribblesAlexis Saelemaekers3/4
- Defensive actionsLuka Modrić7
- Fouls wonLuca Ranieri3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.