Crystal Palace 0-1 AEK Larnaca
Key numbers
- Possession 67% – 33%
- Shots 15 (1 on target) – 4 (2)
- Decisive moment: 51' Riad Bajić, FN xPts +1.0
HT 0:0
Riad Bajić 51'
Crystal Palace 12th → 13th · 3 pts|AEK Larnaca 7th → 2nd · 6 pts
Crystal Palace edged xG (1.66–0.17) but AEK Larnaca took the win.
Player of the matchDaniel MuñozDecisive moment51' Riad Bajić+1.0
Player of the match
Daniel Muñoz Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)
Game state
Crystal Palace ahead 0 min · level 51 min · AEK Larnaca ahead 39 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
51'
Riad Bajić
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Marcus Rohdén +0.3
+1.0
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −1.2→ League points won 0
AEK Larnaca
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.7Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Crystal PalaceAEK Larnaca
67%Possession33%
1.66Expected goals (xG)0.17
0.11xG per shot0.04
15Shots4
1Shots on target2
7%Shots on target %50%
12Shots in box2
587Passes288
87%Pass accuracy67%
8Corners2
1Saves1
16Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Crystal Palace
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.75 | |
| xG | 1.66 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 0.17 | 0.95 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14.5 | |
| On target | 1 | 5.4 | low |
| Shots faced | 4 | 10.6 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 67% | 48.6% | |
| Passes | 587 | 416.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 79.3% | high |
| Corners | 8 | 4.3 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 9.8 |
Timeline
- 19' Sub Yerson Chacón → Đorđe Ivanović
- 43' Yellow Pere Pons
- 51' Goal Riad Bajić assist Marcus Rohdén
- 60' Sub Jaydee Canvot → Edward Nketiah
- 71' Sub Jefferson Lerma → Daichi Kamada
- 71' Sub Yéremy Pino → Adam Wharton
- 79' Sub Pere Pons → Jimmy Suárez
- 79' Sub Riad Bajić → Karol Angielski
- 86' Yellow Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 87' Sub Ismaïla Sarr → Christantus Uche
- 87' Sub Will Hughes → Romain Esse
- 88' Yellow Edward Nketiah
- 90' Yellow Marcus Rohdén
Category leaders
- Key passesWill Hughes4
- Duels wonDaniel Muñoz10/11
- Defensive actionsDaniel Muñoz8
- ShotsJean-Philippe Mateta4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonTyrick Mitchell5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.