Nottingham Forest 2-0 FC Porto
Key numbers
- Possession 51% – 49%
- Shots 8 (3 on target) – 10 (2)
- Decisive moment: 19' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +0.7
Morgan Gibbs-White 19' (pen)
Igor Jesus 77' (pen)
Igor Jesus 77' (pen)
HT 1:0
Nottingham Forest 26th → 14th · 4 pts|FC Porto 9th → 11th · 6 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.09–0.6).
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment19' Morgan Gibbs-White+0.7
Player of the match
Neco Williams Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 71 min · level 19 min · FC Porto ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
19'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Pen goal
+0.7
77'
Igor Jesus
Pen goal
+0.2
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
FC Porto
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.9Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestFC Porto
51%Possession49%
2.09Expected goals (xG)0.6
0.26xG per shot0.06
8Shots10
3Shots on target2
38%Shots on target %20%
5Shots in box6
457Passes436
85%Pass accuracy84%
3Corners8
1Saves1
13Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2.1 | low |
| xG | 2.09 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.6 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 8 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 12.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.26 | 0.1 | high |
| Possession | 51% | 54.8% | |
| Passes | 457 | 492.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85.6% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 12.1 |
Timeline
- 19' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White (pen) competition goal #1
- 25' Yellow Francisco Moura
- 35' Yellow Igor Jesus
- 45+1' Sub Oleksandr Zinchenko → Nicolò Savona
- 53' VAR Jan Bednarek
- 58' Sub Borja Sainz → William Gomes
- 58' Sub Alan Varela → Gabri Veiga
- 58' Sub Alberto Costa → Zaidu Sanusi
- 58' Sub Francisco Moura → Martim Fernandes
- 75' VAR Nicolò Savona
- 77' Sub Pepê → Rodrigo Mora
- 77' Goal Igor Jesus (pen) competition goal #3
- 85' Sub Douglas Luiz → Ryan Yates
- 89' Yellow Gabri Veiga
- 90' Yellow Murillo
- 90+3' Sub Elliot Anderson → Ibrahim Sangaré
Category leaders
- Key passesPepê4
- Duels wonNeco Williams8/15
- DribblesDouglas Luiz2/3
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams9
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.