Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 13 (5 on target) – 8 (4)
- Decisive moment: 25' Marcus Tavernier, FN xPts +0.8
Marcus Tavernier 25'
Eli Junior Kroupi 40'
Eli Junior Kroupi 40'
HT 2:0
Bournemouth 5th → 2nd · 18 pts|Nottingham Forest 18th · 5 pts
Bournemouth won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.58–0.37).
Player of the matchAdrien TruffertDecisive moment25' Marcus Tavernier+0.8
Player of the match
Adrien Truffert Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
Bournemouth ahead 65 min · level 25 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
25'
Marcus Tavernier
Goal
+0.8
40'
Eli Junior Kroupi
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Tyler Adams +0.1
+0.4
Bournemouth
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.2Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
BournemouthNottingham Forest
52%Possession48%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.37
0.04xG per shot0.05
13Shots8
5Shots on target4
38%Shots on target %50%
5Shots in box3
447Passes409
80%Pass accuracy78%
6Corners4
4Saves3
17Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Bournemouth
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.58 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 0.37 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 13 | 13 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.4 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 10.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.04 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 52% | 52.2% | |
| Passes | 447 | 427.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80.2% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 12.1 | high |
Nottingham Forest
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 0.37 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.58 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 8 | 12.9 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 54.5% | |
| Passes | 409 | 489.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 85.6% | low |
| Corners | 4 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 12.2 |
Timeline
- 18' Yellow Justin Kluivert
- 18' Yellow Douglas Luiz
- 25' Goal Marcus Tavernier league goal #2
- 40' Goal Eli Junior Kroupi league goal #4 assist Tyler Adams
- 46' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 46' Sub Douglas Luiz → Ryan Yates
- 46' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Omari Hutchinson
- 63' Yellow Marcos Senesi
- 69' Sub Justin Kluivert → David Brooks
- 69' Sub Eli Junior Kroupi → Amine Adli
- 80' Sub Alex Scott → Ryan Christie
- 83' Sub Dan Ndoye → Nicolás Domínguez
- 87' Yellow David Brooks
- 89' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Arnaud Kalimuendo
- 90+2' Sub Antoine Semenyo → Enes Ünal
- 90+2' Sub Marcus Tavernier → Lewis Cook
Category leaders
- Key passesMarcus Tavernier3
- Duels wonAdrien Truffert10/13
- DribblesAntoine Semenyo2/4
- Defensive actionsAdrien Truffert7
- ShotsMarcus Tavernier3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNeco Williams3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.