Premier League · Matchweek 9
2:3
Jørgen Strand Larsen 42' (pen)
Marshall Munetsi 45'
HT 2:2
Zian Flemming 14'
Zian Flemming 30'
Lyle Foster 90'
Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00 (UK) · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Wolves 20th · 2 pts|Burnley 17th → 16th · 10 pts

Wolves edged xG (2.28–1.43) but Burnley took the win.

Player of the matchZian Flemming8.8Decisive moment90' Lyle Foster+1.7

Wolves 2-3 Burnley

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 15 (7 on target) – 11 (7)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Lyle Foster, FN xPts +1.7
Player of the match
Zian Flemming 8.8Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-22-22-3
Wolves ahead 0 min · level 59 min · Burnley ahead 31 min
  • Lyle Foster — off the bench 13 min · 1G 0A
  • Hannibal Mejbri — off the bench 1 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

14' Zian Flemming Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Quilindschy Hartman +0.2 +0.7
30' Zian Flemming Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Quilindschy Hartman +0.2 +0.6
42' Jørgen Strand Larsen Pen goal +0.4
45' Marshall Munetsi Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ladislav Krejčí +0.2 +0.8
90' Lyle Foster Goal · scorer +1.2 · assist Hannibal Mejbri +0.5 +1.7
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −2.2Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Burnley Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +3.0Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

WolvesBurnley
57%Possession43%
2.28Expected goals (xG)1.43
0.15xG per shot0.13
15Shots11
7Shots on target7
47%Shots on target %64%
10Shots in box6
493Passes391
84%Pass accuracy79%
4Corners3
4Saves5
12Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
2Offsides2

Compared with usual

Wolves

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21
Conceded31.8
xG2.280.7high
xG against1.431
Shots1511.4
On target73.6high
Shots faced1112.1
xG per shot0.150.07high
Possession57%49.5%
Passes493418.3
Pass accuracy84%80.4%
Corners44
Fouls1213.9

Burnley

10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.2high
Conceded21.8
xG1.430.54high
xG against2.281.6
Shots118.7
On target73.4
Shots faced1516.7
xG per shot0.130.08
Possession43%37.8%
Passes391347.7
Pass accuracy79%76%
Corners32.9
Fouls79.8

Timeline

  • 14' Goal Zian Flemming league goal #1 assist Quilindschy Hartman
  • 30' Goal Zian Flemming league goal #2 assist Quilindschy Hartman
  • 35' Yellow Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
  • 42' Goal Jørgen Strand Larsen (pen) league goal #1
  • 45' Goal Marshall Munetsi league goal #1 assist Ladislav Krejčí
  • 68' Sub Jhon Arias → Hee-Chan Hwang
  • 68' Sub André → João Gomes
  • 69' Sub Jacob Bruun Larsen → Josh Laurent
  • 76' Sub Ki-Jana Hoever → Jackson Tchatchoua
  • 77' Sub Jaidon Anthony → Lyle Foster
  • 84' Sub Hugo Bueno → David Möller Wolfe
  • 84' Sub Marshall Munetsi → Tolu Arokodare
  • 90' Goal Lyle Foster league goal #2 assist Hannibal Mejbri
  • 90+3' Sub Florentino Luís → Hannibal Mejbri
  • 90+3' Sub Lesley Ugochukwu → Hjalmar Ekdal

Category leaders

  • Key passesHugo Bueno2
  • Duels wonZian Flemming14/20
  • DribblesJean-Ricner Bellegarde4/5
  • Defensive actionsSantiago Bueno5
  • ShotsRodrigo Gomes3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonZian Flemming6

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.