La Liga · Matchweek 10
HT 0:2
Giuliano Simeone 3'
Alejandro Baena 45'
Mon, 27 Oct 2025, 20:00 (UK) · Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Real Betis 6th · 16 pts|Atletico Madrid 5th → 4th · 19 pts

Real Betis edged xG (1.07–0.6) but Atletico Madrid took the win.

Player of the matchJan Oblak7.7Decisive moment3' Giuliano Simeone+0.8

Real Betis 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Key numbers

  • Possession 57% – 43%
  • Shots 17 (5 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 3' Giuliano Simeone, FN xPts +0.8
Player of the match
Jan Oblak 7.7Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.7 (Strong)

Game state

0-10-2
Real Betis ahead 0 min · level 3 min · Atletico Madrid ahead 87 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

3' Giuliano Simeone Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Koke +0.2 +0.8
45' Alejandro Baena Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Julián Alvarez +0.2 +0.5
Real Betis Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Atletico Madrid Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Real BetisAtletico Madrid
57%Possession43%
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.6
0.06xG per shot0.07
17Shots9
5Shots on target4
29%Shots on target %44%
7Shots in box5
545Passes421
87%Pass accuracy81%
2Corners5
2Saves5
9Fouls18
2Yellow cards1
4Offsides4

Compared with usual

Real Betis

12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.6
Conceded21
xG1.071.2
xG against0.61.1
Shots1713.7
On target54.1
Shots faced910.8
xG per shot0.060.09
Possession57%51.8%
Passes545493.9
Pass accuracy87%85.8%
Corners24.7
Fouls910.3

Atletico Madrid

12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.9
Conceded01.5
xG0.61.8
xG against1.071.3
Shots913.3
On target45.7
Shots faced1710.3
xG per shot0.070.13
Possession43%53.1%
Passes421519.9
Pass accuracy81%86.4%
Corners55.8
Fouls1811.1high

Timeline

  • 3' Goal Giuliano Simeone league goal #2 assist Koke
  • 45' Goal Alejandro Baena league goal #1 assist Julián Alvarez
  • 46' Sub Marc Roca → Giovani Lo Celso
  • 55' Sub Pablo Barrios → Conor Gallagher
  • 60' Sub Alejandro Baena → Antoine Griezmann
  • 60' Sub Julián Alvarez → Alexander Sørloth
  • 69' Sub Ricardo Rodríguez → Junior Firpo
  • 69' Sub Héctor Bellerín → Aitor Ruibal
  • 76' Sub Pablo Fornals → Nelson Deossa
  • 76' Sub Cucho Hernández → Cédric Bakambu
  • 82' Sub Giuliano Simeone → Nahuel Molina
  • 82' Sub Koke → Thiago Almada
  • 84' Yellow Nicolás González
  • 85' Yellow Giovani Lo Celso
  • 90+1' Yellow Sofyan Amrabat

Category leaders

  • Key passesHéctor Bellerín3
  • Duels wonCucho Hernández8/12
  • DribblesNelson Deossa3/3
  • Defensive actionsMarc Bartra7
  • ShotsAbdessamad Ezzalzouli3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonSofyan Amrabat4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.