Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 41% – 59%
- Shots 17 (3 on target) – 18 (7)
- Decisive moment: 50' Nicolò Savona, FN xPts +1.0
Morgan Gibbs-White 48'
Nicolò Savona 50'
Nicolò Savona 50'
HT 0:1
Casemiro 34'
Amad Diallo 81'
Amad Diallo 81'
Nottingham Forest 18th · 6 pts|Manchester United 6th → 5th · 17 pts
2-2 draw, with xG at 1.93–1.12.
Player of the matchCasemiroDecisive moment50' Nicolò Savona+1.0
Player of the match
Casemiro Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 31 min · level 45 min · Manchester United ahead 14 min
- Ryan Yates — off the bench 76 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
34'
Casemiro
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Bruno Fernandes +0.3
+0.9
48'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ryan Yates +0.3
+0.9
50'
Nicolò Savona
Goal
+1.0
81'
Amad Diallo
Goal
+1.0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −2.3Time effect −0.1→ League points won 1
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestManchester United
41%Possession59%
1.93Expected goals (xG)1.12
0.11xG per shot0.06
17Shots18
3Shots on target7
18%Shots on target %39%
11Shots in box8
350Passes525
75%Pass accuracy84%
8Corners5
4Saves1
17Fouls0
1Yellow cards1
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 1.93 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.12 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 17 | 12.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 12.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 41% | 54% | low |
| Passes | 350 | 483.2 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 85% | low |
| Corners | 8 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 11.8 | high |
Manchester United
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.12 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.93 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 18 | 16.3 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 59% | 52.3% | |
| Passes | 525 | 441.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 80.7% | |
| Corners | 5 | 3.8 | |
| Fouls | 0 | 9.6 | low |
Timeline
- 14' Sub Douglas Luiz → Ryan Yates
- 34' Goal Casemiro league goal #3 assist Bruno Fernandes
- 48' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #1 assist Ryan Yates
- 50' Goal Nicolò Savona league goal #1
- 62' Yellow Dan Ndoye
- 68' Sub Diogo Dalot → Patrick Dorgu
- 77' Sub Leny Yoro → Noussair Mazraoui
- 78' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 81' Goal Amad Diallo league goal #1
- 85' Yellow Noussair Mazraoui
- 90+2' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Ibrahim Sangaré
Category leaders
- Key passesCallum Hudson-Odoi4
- Duels wonMatthijs de Ligt11/11
- DribblesMatheus Cunha3/5
- Defensive actionsMurillo10
- ShotsAmad Diallo4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonMatheus Cunha5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.