AC Milan 1-0 AS Roma
Key numbers
- Possession 37% – 63%
- Shots 17 (8 on target) – 20 (6)
- Decisive moment: 39' Strahinja Pavlović, FN xPts +0.9
Strahinja Pavlović 39'
HT 1:0
AC Milan 5th → 3rd · 21 pts|AS Roma 3rd → 4th · 21 pts
AC Milan won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.32–1.95).
Player of the matchMike MaignanDecisive moment39' Strahinja Pavlović+0.9
Player of the match
Mike Maignan Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.8 (Dominant)
Game state
AC Milan ahead 51 min · level 39 min · AS Roma ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
39'
Strahinja Pavlović
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Rafael Leão +0.3
+0.9
AC Milan
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
AS Roma
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
AC MilanAS Roma
37%Possession63%
3.32Expected goals (xG)1.95
0.2xG per shot0.1
17Shots20
8Shots on target6
47%Shots on target %30%
13Shots in box14
313Passes523
83%Pass accuracy90%
7Corners8
7Saves6
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards5
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
AC Milan
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.64 | |
| xG | 3.32 | 1.1 | high |
| xG against | 1.95 | 0.81 | |
| Shots | 17 | 15.6 | |
| On target | 8 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 8.6 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.08 | high |
| Possession | 37% | 55.8% | |
| Passes | 313 | 523.5 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 88.4% | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 12 | 10.2 |
AS Roma
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.67 | |
| xG | 1.95 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 3.32 | 0.9 | high |
| Shots | 20 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.4 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 9.3 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 63% | 58.9% | |
| Passes | 523 | 495.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 82.9% | |
| Corners | 8 | 6.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 15.2 |
Timeline
- 34' Yellow Neil El Aynaoui
- 39' Goal Strahinja Pavlović league goal #2 assist Rafael Leão
- 51' Sub Matías Soulé → Leon Bailey
- 52' Sub Neil El Aynaoui → Lorenzo Pellegrini
- 74' Yellow Wesley
- 75' Yellow Zeki Çelik
- 77' Sub Zeki Çelik → Artem Dovbyk
- 78' Yellow Youssouf Fofana
- 83' Yellow Mario Hermoso
- 84' Sub Christopher Nkunku → Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 84' Sub Mario Hermoso → Konstantinos Tsimikas
- 84' Sub Paulo Dybala → Tommaso Baldanzi
- 88' Sub Alexis Saelemaekers → Zachary Athekame
- 90+4' Sub Rafael Leão → Fikayo Tomori
- 90+5' Yellow Gianluca Mancini
Category leaders
- Key passesBryan Cristante3
- Duels wonEvan Ndicka11/16
- DribblesAlexis Saelemaekers4/6
- Defensive actionsGianluca Mancini10
- ShotsSamuele Ricci3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonAlexis Saelemaekers3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.