Serie A · Matchweek 10
1:3
Adrián Bernabé 1'
HT 1:1
Santiago Castro 17'
Santiago Castro 68'
Juan Miranda 90'
Sun, 2 Nov 2025, 17:00 (UK) · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma 16th · 7 pts|Bologna 7th → 4th · 18 pts

Bologna won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.51–2.72).

Player of the matchSantiago Castro8.4Decisive moment68' Santiago Castro+1.1

Parma 1-3 Bologna

Key numbers

  • Possession 35% – 65%
  • Shots 7 (1 on target) – 22 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 68' Santiago Castro, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Santiago Castro 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-21-3
Parma ahead 16 min · level 52 min · Bologna ahead 22 min
  • Parma: Red card 35' → ~55 min a player down
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi — off the bench 8 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

1' Adrián Bernabé Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Adrian Benedyczak +0.2 +0.7
17' Santiago Castro Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Emil Holm +0.2 +0.7
35' Christian Ordoñez Red card −0.4
68' Santiago Castro Goal +1.1
90' Juan Miranda Goal · assist Nicolò Cambiaghi +0.1
Parma Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +0.3Opponent moments −1.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Bologna Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.3Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ParmaBologna
35%Possession65%
0.51Expected goals (xG)2.72
0.07xG per shot0.12
7Shots22
1Shots on target6
14%Shots on target %27%
5Shots in box16
235Passes424
63%Pass accuracy87%
1Corners5
3Saves0
16Fouls15
4Yellow cards2
1Offsides6

Compared with usual

Parma

11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.73
Conceded31high
xG0.510.71
xG against2.720.85high
Shots711.1
On target13.6
Shots faced2212.4
xG per shot0.070.07
Possession35%43.5%
Passes235350.1
Pass accuracy63%78.2%low
Corners13.5
Fouls1611.8

Bologna

12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31.3
Conceded10.83
xG2.721.2
xG against0.511.2
Shots2212.9
On target64.3
Shots faced710.5
xG per shot0.120.08
Possession65%57%
Passes424436.3
Pass accuracy87%81.8%
Corners55.4
Fouls1515.5

Timeline

  • 1' Goal Adrián Bernabé league goal #1 assist Adrian Benedyczak
  • 17' Goal Santiago Castro league goal #3 assist Emil Holm
  • 24' Sub Nahuel Estévez → Oliver Sørensen
  • 28' Yellow Christian Ordoñez
  • 35' Second yellow Christian Ordoñez
  • 40' Sub Alessandro Circati → Abdoulaye Ndiaye
  • 56' Sub Remo Freuler → Nikola Moro
  • 61' Yellow Santiago Castro
  • 68' Goal Santiago Castro league goal #4
  • 72' Sub Jens Odgaard → Giovanni Fabbian
  • 72' Sub Santiago Castro → Thijs Dallinga
  • 78' Sub Sascha Britschgi → Hernani
  • 78' Sub Mateo Pellegrino → Milan Đurić
  • 79' Yellow Lautaro Valenti
  • 79' Sub Adrian Benedyczak → Patrick Cutrone
  • 82' Sub Riccardo Orsolini → Federico Bernardeschi
  • 82' Sub Jonathan Rowe → Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 87' Yellow Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 90' Goal Juan Miranda league goal #1 assist Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 90+7' Yellow Milan Đurić

Category leaders

  • Key passesRiccardo Orsolini2
  • Duels wonMateo Pellegrino13/18
  • DribblesRiccardo Orsolini4/5
  • Defensive actionsMandela Keita7
  • ShotsSantiago Castro5 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonMateo Pellegrino4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.