UEFA Champions League · League phase MD4
Leandro Andrade 29'
Marko Janković 39' (pen)
HT 2:1
Estêvão 16'
Alejandro Garnacho 53'
Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 17:45 (UK) · Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
Qarabag 15th → 12th · 7 pts|Chelsea 13th → 10th · 7 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 1.63–1.26.

Player of the matchEstêvão8.3Decisive moment39' Marko Janković+0.9

Qarabag 2-2 Chelsea

Key numbers

  • Possession 39% – 61%
  • Shots 9 (3 on target) – 16 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 39' Marko Janković, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Estêvão 8.3Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.3 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-12-2
Qarabag ahead 14 min · level 63 min · Chelsea ahead 13 min
  • Alejandro Garnacho — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

16' Estêvão Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Andrey Santos +0.2 +0.7
29' Leandro Andrade Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Camilo Duran +0.2 +0.7
39' Marko Janković Pen goal +0.9
53' Alejandro Garnacho Goal +0.8
Qarabag Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.2→ League points won 1
Chelsea Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.5→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

QarabagChelsea
39%Possession61%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.26
0.18xG per shot0.08
9Shots16
3Shots on target4
33%Shots on target %25%
7Shots in box11
311Passes498
78%Pass accuracy88%
2Corners8
2Saves1
9Fouls19
2Yellow cards3
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Qarabag

3 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg

Chelsea

15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.1
Conceded21.3
xG1.261.7
xG against1.631.3
Shots1613.5
On target45.2
Shots faced910.6
xG per shot0.080.12
Possession61%59.4%
Passes498532.1
Pass accuracy88%87.2%
Corners85.3
Fouls1911.4high

Timeline

  • 8' Sub Roméo Lavia → Moisés Caicedo
  • 16' Goal Estêvão competition goal #2 assist Andrey Santos
  • 29' Goal Leandro Andrade assist Camilo Duran
  • 31' Sub Kady Borges → Emmanuel Addai
  • 39' Goal Marko Janković (pen)
  • 44' Yellow Andrey Santos
  • 46' Sub Andrey Santos → Enzo Fernández
  • 46' Sub Tyrique George → Liam Delap
  • 46' Sub Jamie Gittens → Alejandro Garnacho
  • 47' Yellow Matheus Silva
  • 47' Yellow Reece James
  • 53' Goal Alejandro Garnacho competition goal #1
  • 61' Sub Camilo Duran → Nariman Akhundzade
  • 61' Sub Leandro Andrade → Toral Bayramov
  • 71' Sub João Pedro → Facundo Buonanotte
  • 75' Sub Elvin Jafarguliyev → Dani Bolt
  • 75' Sub Richard Almeida → Oleksiy Kashchuk
  • 87' Yellow Kevin Medina
  • 90+1' Yellow Moisés Caicedo

Category leaders

  • Key passesEstêvão3
  • Duels wonMatheus Silva9/13
  • DribblesEmmanuel Addai3/6
  • Defensive actionsMatheus Silva8
  • ShotsAlejandro Garnacho3 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonKevin Medina5

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.