Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds
Key numbers
- Possession 46% – 54%
- Shots 14 (6 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 68' Morgan Gibbs-White, FN xPts +1.2
Ibrahim Sangaré 15'
Morgan Gibbs-White 68'
Elliot Anderson 90' (pen)
Morgan Gibbs-White 68'
Elliot Anderson 90' (pen)
HT 1:1
Lukas Nmecha 13'
Nottingham Forest 19th · 9 pts|Leeds 16th · 11 pts
Nottingham Forest won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.55–0.69).
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment68' Morgan Gibbs-White+1.2
Player of the match
Neco Williams Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 22 min · level 66 min · Leeds ahead 2 min
- Omari Hutchinson — off the bench 31 min · 0G 1A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
13'
Lukas Nmecha
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Brenden Aaronson +0.2
+0.8
15'
Ibrahim Sangaré
Goal
+0.8
68'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Omari Hutchinson +0.4
+1.2
90'
Elliot Anderson
Pen goal
+0.1
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Leeds
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestLeeds
46%Possession54%
2.55Expected goals (xG)0.69
0.18xG per shot0.07
14Shots10
6Shots on target3
43%Shots on target %30%
10Shots in box5
348Passes435
80%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners4
2Saves3
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
2Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 2.55 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 0.69 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 14 | 12.6 | |
| On target | 6 | 4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 11.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 46% | 53.4% | |
| Passes | 348 | 477.7 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 84.3% | |
| Corners | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 12.2 |
Leeds
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.91 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.69 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 2.55 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 10 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 9.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 54% | 50.6% | |
| Passes | 435 | 450.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.6 |
Timeline
- 13' Goal Lukas Nmecha league goal #2 assist Brenden Aaronson
- 15' Goal Ibrahim Sangaré league goal #1
- 33' Yellow Ibrahim Sangaré
- 41' Yellow Murillo
- 59' Sub Igor Jesus → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 59' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 59' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Omari Hutchinson
- 68' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #2 assist Omari Hutchinson
- 71' Yellow Sean Longstaff
- 74' Sub Brenden Aaronson → Daniel James
- 74' Sub Lukas Nmecha → Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 74' Sub Sean Longstaff → Joël Piroe
- 82' Sub Gabriel Gudmundsson → Jack Harrison
- 82' Sub Jaka Bijol → Pascal Struijk
- 88' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Morato
- 90' Goal Elliot Anderson (pen) league goal #1
Category leaders
- Key passesNicolò Savona2
- Duels wonNeco Williams11/15
- DribblesOmari Hutchinson2/3
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams6
- ShotsMorgan Gibbs-White3 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonBrenden Aaronson4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.