Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 75% – 25%
- Shots 21 (4 on target) – 15 (7)
- Decisive moment: 33' Murillo, FN xPts +0.8
HT 0:1
Murillo 33'
Nicolò Savona 46'
Morgan Gibbs-White 78'
Nicolò Savona 46'
Morgan Gibbs-White 78'
Liverpool 8th → 9th · 18 pts|Nottingham Forest 19th → 15th · 12 pts
Liverpool edged xG (1.93–1.58) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchNeco WilliamsDecisive moment33' Murillo+0.8
Player of the match
Neco Williams Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.2 (Dominant)
Game state
Liverpool ahead 0 min · level 33 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 57 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
33'
Murillo
Goal
+0.8
46'
Nicolò Savona
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Neco Williams +0.2
+0.7
78'
Morgan Gibbs-White
Goal
+0.1
Liverpool
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +1.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
75%Possession25%
1.93Expected goals (xG)1.58
0.09xG per shot0.11
21Shots15
4Shots on target7
19%Shots on target %47%
16Shots in box9
629Passes215
89%Pass accuracy70%
8Corners6
4Saves3
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Offsides2
Compared with usual
Liverpool
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.93 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.58 | 0.97 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.9 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 10.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 75% | 59.6% | |
| Passes | 629 | 532.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 85.6% | |
| Corners | 8 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10.2 |
Nottingham Forest
16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.58 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.93 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 12.7 | |
| On target | 7 | 4.1 | |
| Shots faced | 21 | 11.8 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 25% | 52.9% | low |
| Passes | 215 | 469.6 | low |
| Pass accuracy | 70% | 84.1% | low |
| Corners | 6 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 12.1 |
Timeline
- 33' Goal Murillo league goal #1
- 46' Goal Nicolò Savona league goal #2 assist Neco Williams
- 55' Sub Ibrahima Konaté → Hugo Ekitiké
- 61' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Omari Hutchinson
- 66' Yellow Ryan Gravenberch
- 68' Sub Alexander Isak → Federico Chiesa
- 68' Sub Miloš Kerkez → Andrew Robertson
- 78' Sub Curtis Jones → Rio Ngumoha
- 78' Goal Morgan Gibbs-White league goal #3
- 86' Sub Igor Jesus → Ryan Yates
- 86' Sub Dan Ndoye → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 87' Yellow Federico Chiesa
Category leaders
- Key passesDominik Szoboszlai5
- Duels wonNeco Williams14/20
- DribblesMohamed Salah4/14
- Defensive actionsNeco Williams14
- ShotsAlexis Mac Allister3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonIgor Jesus4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.