Arsenal 3-1 Bayern München
Key numbers
- Possession 40% – 60%
- Shots 13 (8 on target) – 8 (2)
- Decisive moment: 69' Noni Madueke, FN xPts +1.2
Jurriën Timber 22'
Noni Madueke 69'
Gabriel Martinelli 77'
Noni Madueke 69'
Gabriel Martinelli 77'
HT 1:1
Lennart Karl 32'
Arsenal 2nd → 1st · 15 pts|Bayern München 1st → 3rd · 12 pts
Arsenal won on the scoreboard and on xG (3.11–0.65).
Player of the matchJurriën TimberDecisive moment69' Noni Madueke+1.2
Player of the match
Jurriën Timber Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)
Game state
Arsenal ahead 31 min · level 59 min · Bayern München ahead 0 min
- Noni Madueke — off the bench 52 min · 1G 0A
- Riccardo Calafiori — off the bench 22 min · 0G 1A
- Gabriel Martinelli — off the bench 22 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
22'
Jurriën Timber
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Bukayo Saka +0.2
+0.7
32'
Lennart Karl
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Serge Gnabry +0.2
+0.6
69'
Noni Madueke
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Riccardo Calafiori +0.4
+1.2
77'
Gabriel Martinelli
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Eberechi Eze +0.1
+0.3
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Bayern München
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.6Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
ArsenalBayern München
40%Possession60%
3.11Expected goals (xG)0.65
0.24xG per shot0.08
13Shots8
8Shots on target2
62%Shots on target %25%
12Shots in box8
344Passes533
80%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners1
1Saves5
16Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
2Offsides0
Compared with usual
Arsenal
18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.33 | |
| xG | 3.11 | 1.7 | high |
| xG against | 0.65 | 0.53 | |
| Shots | 13 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 8 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 8.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.24 | 0.11 | high |
| Possession | 40% | 59.3% | |
| Passes | 344 | 495.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 84.8% | |
| Corners | 6 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.2 |
Bayern München
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3.6 | low |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.82 | high |
| xG | 0.65 | 2.5 | |
| xG against | 3.11 | 0.62 | high |
| Shots | 8 | 19.2 | low |
| On target | 2 | 9.1 | low |
| Shots faced | 13 | 9.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 60% | 63.3% | |
| Passes | 533 | 664.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 88.9% | |
| Corners | 1 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 10.5 |
Timeline
- 22' Goal Jurriën Timber competition goal #1 assist Bukayo Saka
- 23' Yellow Dayot Upamecano
- 32' Goal Lennart Karl competition goal #2 assist Serge Gnabry
- 38' Sub Leandro Trossard → Noni Madueke
- 43' Yellow Konrad Laimer
- 68' Sub Bukayo Saka → Gabriel Martinelli
- 68' Sub Myles Lewis-Skelly → Riccardo Calafiori
- 69' Goal Noni Madueke competition goal #1 assist Riccardo Calafiori
- 72' Sub Serge Gnabry → Nicolas Jackson
- 72' Sub Konrad Laimer → Tom Bischof
- 74' Yellow William Saliba
- 77' Goal Gabriel Martinelli competition goal #4 assist Eberechi Eze
- 80' Yellow Mikel Merino
- 80' Sub Jurriën Timber → Ben White
- 80' Sub Eberechi Eze → Martin Ødegaard
- 81' Sub Dayot Upamecano → Min-jae Kim
- 81' Sub Joshua Kimmich → Leon Goretzka
- 81' Sub Lennart Karl → Raphaël Guerreiro
Category leaders
- Key passesBukayo Saka4
- Duels wonMichael Olise8/12
- DribblesMichael Olise3/4
- Defensive actionsJosip Stanišić5
- ShotsMikel Merino4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonJoshua Kimmich4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.