FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 FCSB
Key numbers
- Possession 39% – 61%
- Shots 14 (5 on target) – 13 (2)
- Decisive moment: 50' Bruno Duarte, FN xPts +1.0
Bruno Duarte 50'
HT 0:0
FK Crvena Zvezda 28th → 18th · 7 pts|FCSB 30th → 31st · 3 pts
FK Crvena Zvezda won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.75–0.78).
Player of the matchBruno DuarteDecisive moment50' Bruno Duarte+1.0
Player of the match
Bruno Duarte Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.8 (Strong)
Game state
FK Crvena Zvezda ahead 40 min · level 50 min · FCSB ahead 0 min
- FK Crvena Zvezda: Red card 27' → ~63 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
27'
Franklin Tebo
Red card
−0.5
50'
Bruno Duarte
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Young-woo Seol +0.3
+1.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments +0.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
FCSB
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.4Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
FK Crvena ZvezdaFCSB
39%Possession61%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.78
0.13xG per shot0.06
14Shots13
5Shots on target2
36%Shots on target %15%
8Shots in box5
342Passes545
74%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners5
2Saves4
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides4
Compared with usual
FK Crvena Zvezda
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.75 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.75 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.78 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 14 | 11.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 3 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 39% | 46.8% | |
| Passes | 342 | 433.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 80.8% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 10.5 |
FCSB
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0.75 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.78 | 0.77 | |
| xG against | 1.75 | 2.1 | |
| Shots | 13 | 12 | |
| On target | 2 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 19.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 61% | 39.3% | |
| Passes | 545 | 325.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 76.3% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 14.5 |
Timeline
- 27' Yellow Young-woo Seol
- 27' Red Franklin Tebo
- 46' Sub Mihai Lixandru → Florin Tănase
- 46' Sub Mamadou Thiam → Juri Cisotti
- 50' Goal Bruno Duarte competition goal #1 assist Young-woo Seol
- 61' Yellow Darius Olaru
- 69' Sub Bruno Duarte → Rodrigão
- 74' Sub Darius Olaru → Octavian Popescu
- 81' Sub Tomás Händel → Milson
- 84' Sub David Miculescu → Dennis Politic
- 84' Sub Valentin Crețu → Alexandru Pantea
- 85' Sub Marko Arnautović → Aleksandar Katai
Category leaders
- Key passesMarko Arnautović2
- Duels wonDavid Miculescu7/8
- DribblesMirko Ivanić3/5
- Defensive actionsDaniel Graovac9
- ShotsMirko Ivanić3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonTimi Max Elšnik3
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.