Ludogorets 3-2 Celta Vigo
Key numbers
- Possession 43% – 57%
- Shots 7 (4 on target) – 19 (7)
- Decisive moment: 11' Petar Stanić, FN xPts +0.7
Petar Stanić 11' (pen)
Petar Stanić 49'
Petar Stanić 62' (pen)
Petar Stanić 49'
Petar Stanić 62' (pen)
HT 1:0
Pablo Durán 70'
Jones El-Abdellaoui 90'
Jones El-Abdellaoui 90'
Ludogorets 30th → 22nd · 6 pts|Celta Vigo 4th · 9 pts
Ludogorets won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.6–2).
Player of the matchPetar StanićDecisive moment11' Petar Stanić+0.7
Player of the match
Petar Stanić Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)
Game state
Ludogorets ahead 79 min · level 11 min · Celta Vigo ahead 0 min
- Pablo Durán — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A
- Bryan Zaragoza — off the bench 33 min · 0G 2A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
11'
Petar Stanić
Pen goal
+0.7
49'
Petar Stanić
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Olivier Verdon +0.2
+0.6
62'
Petar Stanić
Pen goal
+0.2
70'
Pablo Durán
Goal · assist Bryan Zaragoza
+0.1
90'
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Goal · assist Bryan Zaragoza
+0.1
Ludogorets
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.1Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −0.4Time effect +0.8→ League points won 3
Celta Vigo
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.2Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.6→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LudogoretsCelta Vigo
43%Possession57%
2.6Expected goals (xG)2
0.37xG per shot0.11
7Shots19
4Shots on target7
57%Shots on target %37%
5Shots in box13
444Passes572
84%Pass accuracy88%
1Corners7
5Saves1
7Fouls16
2Yellow cards3
3Offsides0
Compared with usual
Ludogorets
4 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2.3 | |
| xG | 2.6 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 7 | 15.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 14 | |
| xG per shot | 0.37 | 0.07 | |
| Possession | 43% | 46.3% | |
| Passes | 444 | 417.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 82.5% | |
| Corners | 1 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 10 |
Celta Vigo
last 4 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 2.6 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 19 | 10 | |
| On target | 7 | 4 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 57% | 48% | |
| Passes | 572 | 503.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 86% | |
| Corners | 7 | 2.5 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 13 |
Timeline
- 11' Goal Petar Stanić (pen)
- 46' Sub Damián Rodríguez → Miguel Román
- 46' Sub Ferran Jutglà → Pablo Durán
- 49' Goal Petar Stanić assist Olivier Verdon
- 53' Yellow Aguibou Camara
- 58' Yellow Miguel Román
- 58' Sub Borja Iglesias → Iago Aspas
- 58' Sub Angel Arcos → Bryan Zaragoza
- 59' Sub Aguibou Camara → Ivajlo Chochev
- 61' VAR Caio Vidal
- 62' Goal Petar Stanić (pen)
- 64' Yellow Yoel Lago
- 67' Sub Yoel Lago → Carl Starfelt
- 70' Goal Pablo Durán competition goal #3 assist Bryan Zaragoza
- 75' Sub Pedro Naressi → Filip Kaloč
- 75' Sub Anton Nedyalkov → Erick Marcus
- 85' Sub Caio Vidal → Yves Erick Bile
- 90' Goal Jones El-Abdellaoui competition goal #1 assist Bryan Zaragoza
- 90+5' Yellow Iago Aspas
- 90+7' Yellow Hendrik Bonmann
Category leaders
- Key passesBryan Zaragoza3
- Duels wonAguibou Camara9/14
- DribblesMihailo Ristić3/3
- Defensive actionsPedro Naressi9
- ShotsIlaix Moriba4 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonCaio Vidal4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.