Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
Raphaël Guerreiro 44'
Luis Díaz 90'
Nicolas Jackson 90'
HT 1:1
Andreas Hountondji 6'
Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 14:30 (UK) · Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München · 34 pts|FC St. Pauli · 7 pts

Bayern München won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.3–0.64).

Player of the matchJoshua Kimmich8.6Decisive moment90' Luis Díaz+1.6

Bayern München 3-1 FC St. Pauli

Key numbers

  • Possession 80% – 20%
  • Shots 19 (4 on target) – 10 (1)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Luis Díaz, FN xPts +1.6
Player of the match
Joshua Kimmich 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-12-13-1
Bayern München ahead 0 min · level 52 min · FC St. Pauli ahead 38 min
  • Nicolas Jackson — off the bench 17 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

6' Andreas Hountondji Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Mathias Pereira Lage +0.2 +0.6
44' Raphaël Guerreiro Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Luis Díaz +0.3 +0.9
90' Luis Díaz Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Joshua Kimmich +0.5 +1.6
90' Nicolas Jackson Goal +0.1
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments +2.6Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −1.4→ League points won 3
FC St. Pauli Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.8Time effect +0.8→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Bayern MünchenFC St. Pauli
80%Possession20%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.64
0.12xG per shot0.06
19Shots10
4Shots on target1
21%Shots on target %10%
14Shots in box5
995Passes242
93%Pass accuracy73%
10Corners2
0Saves1
5Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides2

Compared with usual

Bayern München

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals33.5
Conceded10.94
xG2.32.4
xG against0.640.76
Shots1918.6
On target48.7
Shots faced109.6
xG per shot0.120.13
Possession80%63.1%
Passes995657.2high
Pass accuracy93%88.7%
Corners105.3
Fouls510.7low

FC St. Pauli

13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.77
Conceded31.7
xG0.640.82
xG against2.31.2
Shots1014.6
On target14.9
Shots faced1910.1high
xG per shot0.060.07
Possession20%52.8%low
Passes242533.5low
Pass accuracy73%80.3%
Corners27.2
Fouls811.8

Timeline

  • 6' Goal Andreas Hountondji league goal #4 assist Mathias Pereira Lage
  • 18' Sub Andreas Hountondji → Danel Sinani
  • 39' Yellow Karol Mets
  • 44' Goal Raphaël Guerreiro league goal #2 assist Luis Díaz
  • 46' Sub Konrad Laimer → Michael Olise
  • 65' Sub Lennart Karl → Serge Gnabry
  • 65' Sub Raphaël Guerreiro → Josip Stanišić
  • 68' Sub Lars Ritzka → Louis Oppie
  • 68' Sub Jackson Irvine → Abdoulie Ceesay
  • 77' Sub Min-jae Kim → Leon Goretzka
  • 83' Yellow Jonathan Tah
  • 83' Sub Aleksandar Pavlović → Nicolas Jackson
  • 87' Sub Mathias Pereira Lage → Connor Metcalfe
  • 90' Goal Luis Díaz league goal #7 assist Joshua Kimmich
  • 90' Goal Nicolas Jackson league goal #3
  • 90+8' VAR Nicolas Jackson

Category leaders

  • Key passesJoshua Kimmich4
  • Duels wonMin-jae Kim10/13
  • DribblesLennart Karl2/5
  • Defensive actionsArkadiusz Pyrka7
  • ShotsHarry Kane3 (on target 1)

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.