Serie A · Matchweek 13
1:0
Rafael Leão 51'
HT 0:0
Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:45 (UK) · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
AC Milan 2nd → 1st · 28 pts|Lazio 8th · 18 pts

AC Milan won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.47–0.68).

Player of the matchFikayo Tomori8.4Decisive moment51' Rafael Leão+0.9

AC Milan 1-0 Lazio

Key numbers

  • Possession 46% – 54%
  • Shots 16 (4 on target) – 9 (4)
  • Decisive moment: 51' Rafael Leão, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Fikayo Tomori 8.4Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)

Game state

1-0
AC Milan ahead 39 min · level 51 min · Lazio ahead 0 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

51' Rafael Leão Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Fikayo Tomori +0.3 +0.9
AC Milan Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Lazio Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

AC MilanLazio
46%Possession54%
1.47Expected goals (xG)0.68
0.09xG per shot0.08
16Shots9
4Shots on target4
25%Shots on target %44%
11Shots in box5
493Passes569
89%Pass accuracy88%
1Corners4
4Saves3
10Fouls12
3Yellow cards4
1Offsides2

Compared with usual

AC Milan

14 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded00.64
xG1.471.3
xG against0.681.1
Shots1614.6
On target45.1
Shots faced910.6
xG per shot0.090.11
Possession46%53.1%
Passes493499
Pass accuracy89%87.6%
Corners15.1
Fouls1010.2

Lazio

12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals01.3
Conceded10.75
xG0.681.1
xG against1.471.4
Shots910.9
On target44.1
Shots faced1613.1
xG per shot0.080.09
Possession54%50.5%
Passes569475
Pass accuracy88%84.1%
Corners43.4
Fouls1210.8

Timeline

  • 26' Yellow Fikayo Tomori
  • 51' Goal Rafael Leão league goal #5 assist Fikayo Tomori
  • 57' Yellow Luca Pellegrini
  • 62' Sub Matías Vecino → Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • 62' Sub Boulaye Dia → Valentín Castellanos
  • 64' Yellow Matteo Gabbia
  • 65' Sub Youssouf Fofana → Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 70' Sub Gustav Isaksen → Pedro
  • 72' Yellow Alessio Romagnoli
  • 82' Sub Christopher Nkunku → Samuele Ricci
  • 85' Sub Luca Pellegrini → Nuno Tavares
  • 85' Sub Toma Bašić → Tijjani Noslin
  • 89' Yellow Samuele Ricci
  • 90+7' VAR Alessio Romagnoli
  • 90+13' Yellow Mattia Zaccagni
  • 90+14' Yellow Mattéo Guendouzi

Category leaders

  • Key passesDavide Bartesaghi4
  • Duels wonFikayo Tomori8/12
  • Defensive actionsAlessio Romagnoli8
  • ShotsRafael Leão3 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonAlexis Saelemaekers3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.