Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton
Key numbers
- Possession 52% – 48%
- Shots 19 (3 on target) – 17 (6)
- Decisive moment: 45' Maxim De Cuyper, FN xPts +0.9
HT 0:1
Maxim De Cuyper 45'
Stefanos Tzimas 88'
Stefanos Tzimas 88'
Nottingham Forest 16th · 12 pts|Brighton 8th → 4th · 22 pts
Brighton won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.89–2).
Player of the matchElliot AndersonDecisive moment45' Maxim De Cuyper+0.9
Player of the match
Elliot Anderson Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 45 min · Brighton ahead 45 min
- Stefanos Tzimas — off the bench 25 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Maxim De Cuyper
Goal
+0.9
88'
Stefanos Tzimas
Goal
+0.2
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.4Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Brighton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestBrighton
52%Possession48%
0.89Expected goals (xG)2
0.05xG per shot0.12
19Shots17
3Shots on target6
16%Shots on target %35%
13Shots in box11
492Passes476
83%Pass accuracy82%
9Corners2
3Saves3
11Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
1Offsides0
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.89 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 19 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 52% | 52.1% | |
| Passes | 492 | 466.8 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83.7% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.9 |
Brighton
15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.89 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 17 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 11.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 48% | 51.6% | |
| Passes | 476 | 452.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83.9% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 12.7 |
Timeline
- 44' Yellow Mats Wieffer
- 45' Goal Maxim De Cuyper league goal #2
- 46' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 46' Sub Dan Ndoye → Omari Hutchinson
- 56' Sub Georginio Rutter → Jack Hinshelwood
- 65' Sub Danny Welbeck → Stefanos Tzimas
- 74' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 75' Sub Igor Jesus → Arnaud Kalimuendo
- 84' Sub Diego Gómez → Joël Veltman
- 84' Sub Yankuba Minteh → Brajan Gruda
- 84' Sub Maxim De Cuyper → Carlos Baleba
- 85' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → James McAtee
- 88' Goal Stefanos Tzimas league goal #1
Category leaders
- Key passesElliot Anderson6
- Duels wonElliot Anderson12/17
- DribblesElliot Anderson6/7
- Defensive actionsMats Wieffer10
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.