Serie A · Matchweek 13
Riccardo Orsolini 45' (pen)
HT 1:2
Martín Payero 31'
Jamie Vardy 35'
Jamie Vardy 50'
Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 19:45 (UK) · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Bologna 5th → 6th · 24 pts|Cremonese 12th → 11th · 17 pts

Bologna edged xG (2.72–2.13) but Cremonese took the win.

Player of the matchJamie Vardy8.2Decisive moment31' Martín Payero+0.9

Bologna 1-3 Cremonese

Key numbers

  • Possession 65% – 35%
  • Shots 29 (7 on target) – 10 (5)
  • Decisive moment: 31' Martín Payero, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Jamie Vardy 8.2Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.2 (Dominant)

Game state

0-10-21-21-3
Bologna ahead 0 min · level 31 min · Cremonese ahead 59 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

31' Martín Payero Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Matteo Bianchetti +0.3 +0.9
35' Jamie Vardy Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Federico Bonazzoli +0.2 +0.7
45' Riccardo Orsolini Pen goal +0.5
50' Jamie Vardy Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Tommaso Barbieri +0.2 +0.7
Bologna Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Cremonese Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BolognaCremonese
65%Possession35%
2.72Expected goals (xG)2.13
0.09xG per shot0.21
29Shots10
7Shots on target5
24%Shots on target %50%
20Shots in box7
468Passes250
82%Pass accuracy60%
13Corners8
2Saves7
13Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
4Offsides3

Compared with usual

Bologna

17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.6
Conceded30.71high
xG2.721.5
xG against2.131.1
Shots2914.4
On target74.9
Shots faced109.8
xG per shot0.090.09
Possession65%55.9%
Passes468426.7
Pass accuracy82%81.8%
Corners135.5high
Fouls1314.5

Cremonese

13 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31
Conceded11.2
xG2.130.84
xG against2.721.4
Shots108
On target52.9
Shots faced2915.4high
xG per shot0.210.1
Possession35%46.5%
Passes250382.8low
Pass accuracy60%77.5%low
Corners83high
Fouls1211.8

Timeline

  • 25' Yellow Giuseppe Pezzella
  • 31' Goal Martín Payero league goal #1 assist Matteo Bianchetti
  • 35' Goal Jamie Vardy league goal #3 assist Federico Bonazzoli
  • 45' Goal Riccardo Orsolini (pen) league goal #6
  • 46' Sub Nicolò Casale → Torbjørn Heggem
  • 46' Sub Benjamín Domínguez → Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 50' Goal Jamie Vardy league goal #4 assist Tommaso Barbieri
  • 59' Yellow Filippo Terracciano
  • 66' Sub Martín Payero → Alberto Grassi
  • 75' Sub Jens Odgaard → Thijs Dallinga
  • 76' Sub Warren Bondo → Alessio Zerbin
  • 76' Sub Federico Bonazzoli → Antonio Sanabria
  • 79' Sub Nadir Zortea → Emil Holm
  • 79' Sub Riccardo Orsolini → Federico Bernardeschi
  • 86' Sub Giuseppe Pezzella → Francesco Folino

Category leaders

  • Key passesJuan Miranda8
  • Duels wonNadir Zortea8/9
  • DribblesSantiago Castro3/5
  • Defensive actionsTommaso Pobega6
  • ShotsRiccardo Orsolini6 (on target 2)
  • Fouls wonNicolò Cambiaghi3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.