Premier League · Matchweek 14
Jan Paul van Hecke 9'
Pau Torres 29' (OG)
Jan Paul van Hecke 83'
HT 2:2
Ollie Watkins 37'
Ollie Watkins 45'
Amadou Onana 60'
Donyell Malen 78'
Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 19:30 (UK) · Amex Stadium, Brighton
Brighton 5th · 22 pts|Aston Villa 4th → 3rd · 27 pts

Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.21–2.41).

Player of the matchOllie Watkins8.7Decisive moment60' Amadou Onana+1.1

Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa

Key numbers

  • Possession 56% – 44%
  • Shots 16 (7 on target) – 14 (10)
  • Decisive moment: 60' Amadou Onana, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Ollie Watkins 8.7Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.7 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-02-12-22-32-43-4
Brighton ahead 36 min · level 24 min · Aston Villa ahead 30 min
  • Jack Hinshelwood — off the bench 66 min · 0G 1A
  • Donyell Malen — off the bench 13 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

9' Jan Paul van Hecke Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Mats Wieffer +0.2 +0.7
29' Pau Torres Own goal −0.4
37' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Evann Guessand +0.1 +0.3
45' Ollie Watkins Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Morgan Rogers +0.2 +0.8
60' Amadou Onana Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Matty Cash +0.3 +1.1
78' Donyell Malen Goal +0.4
83' Jan Paul van Hecke Goal · assist Jack Hinshelwood +0.2
Brighton Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −2.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Aston Villa Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

BrightonAston Villa
56%Possession44%
2.21Expected goals (xG)2.41
0.14xG per shot0.17
16Shots14
7Shots on target10
44%Shots on target %71%
12Shots in box12
473Passes362
85%Pass accuracy83%
5Corners6
6Saves4
10Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
4Offsides1

Compared with usual

Brighton

16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals32.1
Conceded41.1
xG2.211.3
xG against2.411.1high
Shots1613.6
On target75.5
Shots faced1411.7
xG per shot0.140.11
Possession56%51.4%
Passes473453.9
Pass accuracy85%83.8%
Corners54.9
Fouls1012.6

Aston Villa

19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals41.3
Conceded30.79
xG2.411.1
xG against2.211.1
Shots1412.1
On target104.4high
Shots faced1611.7
xG per shot0.170.09high
Possession44%55.4%
Passes362460
Pass accuracy83%85.2%
Corners65.3
Fouls910.2

Timeline

  • 9' Goal Jan Paul van Hecke league goal #2 assist Mats Wieffer
  • 24' Sub Stefanos Tzimas → Jack Hinshelwood
  • 29' Goal Pau Torres (OG)
  • 37' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #2 assist Evann Guessand
  • 45' Goal Ollie Watkins league goal #3 assist Morgan Rogers
  • 45+8' Yellow Bart Verbruggen
  • 60' Goal Amadou Onana league goal #2 assist Matty Cash
  • 67' Sub Ferdi Kadıoğlu → Danny Welbeck
  • 70' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Youri Tielemans
  • 70' Sub Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
  • 75' Yellow John McGinn
  • 77' Sub Brajan Gruda → Charalampos Kostoulas
  • 77' Sub John McGinn → Donyell Malen
  • 78' Sub Carlos Baleba → Joël Veltman
  • 78' Goal Donyell Malen league goal #4
  • 83' Goal Jan Paul van Hecke league goal #3 assist Jack Hinshelwood
  • 85' Yellow Diego Gómez
  • 86' Sub Evann Guessand → Lamare Bogarde
  • 86' Sub Ollie Watkins → Emiliano Buendía
  • 90+5' Yellow Marco Bizot

Category leaders

  • Key passesYankuba Minteh3
  • Duels wonMats Wieffer12/20
  • DribblesYankuba Minteh5/9
  • Defensive actionsMats Wieffer8
  • ShotsJan Paul van Hecke3 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonOllie Watkins3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.