Premier League · Matchweek 14
3:1
Jaka Bijol 6'
Ao Tanaka 43'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72'
HT 2:0
Pedro Neto 50'
Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 20:15 (UK) · Elland Road, Leeds
Leeds 18th → 17th · 14 pts|Chelsea 4th · 24 pts

Leeds won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.79–0.96).

Player of the matchJaka Bijol7.9Decisive moment6' Jaka Bijol+0.7

Leeds 3-1 Chelsea

Key numbers

  • Possession 29% – 71%
  • Shots 17 (5 on target) – 14 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 6' Jaka Bijol, FN xPts +0.7
Player of the match
Jaka Bijol 7.9Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.9 (Strong)

Game state

1-02-02-13-1
Leeds ahead 84 min · level 6 min · Chelsea ahead 0 min
  • Pedro Neto — off the bench 45 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

6' Jaka Bijol Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Anton Stach +0.2 +0.7
43' Ao Tanaka Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Jayden Bogle +0.2 +0.5
50' Pedro Neto Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Jamie Gittens +0.1 +0.4
72' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Goal +0.4
Leeds Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Chelsea Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.4Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

LeedsChelsea
29%Possession71%
2.79Expected goals (xG)0.96
0.16xG per shot0.07
17Shots14
5Shots on target2
29%Shots on target %14%
11Shots in box11
264Passes682
70%Pass accuracy89%
4Corners2
1Saves2
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
3Offsides1

Compared with usual

Leeds

14 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals31
Conceded11.9
xG2.791.2high
xG against0.961.4
Shots1712.9
On target53.9
Shots faced1411
xG per shot0.160.09
Possession29%49.8%low
Passes264438.4low
Pass accuracy70%82.1%low
Corners44.2
Fouls1010.4

Chelsea

20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals12.1
Conceded31.1
xG0.961.7
xG against2.791.2high
Shots1414
On target25.3
Shots faced179.6high
xG per shot0.070.12
Possession71%58.3%
Passes682520.6high
Pass accuracy89%86.8%
Corners25.7
Fouls1312

Timeline

  • 6' Goal Jaka Bijol league goal #1 assist Anton Stach
  • 35' Yellow Anton Stach
  • 39' Yellow Estêvão
  • 43' Goal Ao Tanaka league goal #1 assist Jayden Bogle
  • 46' Sub Estêvão → Pedro Neto
  • 46' Sub Benoît Badiashile → Malo Gusto
  • 50' Goal Pedro Neto league goal #5 assist Jamie Gittens
  • 61' Sub Liam Delap → Cole Palmer
  • 61' Sub Jamie Gittens → Alejandro Garnacho
  • 67' Sub Lukas Nmecha → Noah Okafor
  • 67' Sub Ao Tanaka → Ilia Gruev
  • 72' Goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin league goal #3
  • 77' Sub Andrey Santos → Marc Guiu
  • 86' Sub Dominic Calvert-Lewin → Joël Piroe
  • 87' Sub Jayden Bogle → James Justin
  • 90+4' Sub Gabriel Gudmundsson → Sebastiaan Bornauw

Category leaders

  • Key passesAnton Stach4
  • Duels wonGabriel Gudmundsson13/20
  • DribblesJamie Gittens3/3
  • Defensive actionsGabriel Gudmundsson11
  • ShotsAo Tanaka4 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonGabriel Gudmundsson3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.