Wolves 0-1 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 50% – 50%
- Shots 5 (1 on target) – 10 (3)
- Decisive moment: 72' Igor Jesus, FN xPts +1.2
HT 0:0
Igor Jesus 72'
Wolves 20th · 2 pts|Nottingham Forest 16th · 15 pts
Wolves edged xG (0.91–0.74) but Nottingham Forest took the win.
Player of the matchMorgan Gibbs-WhiteDecisive moment72' Igor Jesus+1.2
Player of the match
Morgan Gibbs-White Strong
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.4 (Strong)
Game state
Wolves ahead 0 min · level 72 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 18 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
72'
Igor Jesus
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Omari Hutchinson +0.4
+1.2
Wolves
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.2Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
WolvesNottingham Forest
50%Possession50%
0.91Expected goals (xG)0.74
0.18xG per shot0.07
5Shots10
1Shots on target3
20%Shots on target %30%
4Shots in box7
415Passes416
79%Pass accuracy80%
3Corners9
2Saves1
19Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
2Offsides2
Compared with usual
Wolves
16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0.94 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 0.91 | 0.85 | |
| xG against | 0.74 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 5 | 10.6 | |
| On target | 1 | 3.4 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 50% | 47.6% | |
| Passes | 415 | 408.3 | |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80.6% | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.4 | |
| Fouls | 19 | 14.1 |
Nottingham Forest
19 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.74 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.91 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 10 | 13.6 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 50% | 52.1% | |
| Passes | 416 | 468.2 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 83.6% | |
| Corners | 9 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 19' Yellow Nikola Milenković
- 41' VAR Igor Jesus
- 52' Yellow João Gomes
- 61' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 67' Yellow Yerson Mosquera
- 67' Sub Jean-Ricner Bellegarde → Hee-Chan Hwang
- 67' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 67' Sub Dan Ndoye → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 72' Goal Igor Jesus league goal #1 assist Omari Hutchinson
- 81' Sub Jhon Arias → Tolu Arokodare
- 81' Sub Yerson Mosquera → Mateus Mané
- 81' Sub Jackson Tchatchoua → Ki-Jana Hoever
- 85' Sub João Gomes → Marshall Munetsi
- 90+3' Sub Morgan Gibbs-White → Nicolás Domínguez
Category leaders
- Key passesMorgan Gibbs-White4
- Duels wonMorgan Gibbs-White9/14
- DribblesToti Gomes2/2
- Defensive actionsYerson Mosquera5
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson6
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.