Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal
Key numbers
- Possession 47% – 53%
- Shots 15 (6 on target) – 15 (9)
- Decisive moment: 90' Emiliano Buendía, FN xPts +1.8
Matty Cash 36'
Emiliano Buendía 90'
Emiliano Buendía 90'
HT 1:0
Leandro Trossard 52'
Aston Villa 3rd → 2nd · 30 pts|Arsenal 1st · 33 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (2.16–1.92).
Player of the matchEmiliano MartínezDecisive moment90' Emiliano Buendía+1.8
Player of the match
Emiliano Martínez Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 16 min · level 74 min · Arsenal ahead 0 min
- Emiliano Buendía — off the bench 9 min · 1G 0A
- Leandro Trossard — off the bench 41 min · 1G 0A
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
36'
Matty Cash
Goal
+0.9
52'
Leandro Trossard
Goal
+0.9
90'
Emiliano Buendía
Goal · scorer +1.3 · assist Boubacar Kamara +0.5
+1.8
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +2.7Opponent moments −1.1Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaArsenal
47%Possession53%
2.16Expected goals (xG)1.92
0.14xG per shot0.13
15Shots15
6Shots on target9
40%Shots on target %60%
13Shots in box9
397Passes443
82%Pass accuracy85%
3Corners3
7Saves4
10Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Offsides3
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.9 | |
| xG | 2.16 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.92 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 15 | 12.2 | |
| On target | 6 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 47% | 54.9% | |
| Passes | 397 | 455.1 | |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 85.1% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.1 |
Arsenal
21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.1 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.38 | |
| xG | 1.92 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 2.16 | 0.54 | high |
| Shots | 15 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 9 | 5.5 | high |
| Shots faced | 15 | 8.1 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 53% | 58.7% | |
| Passes | 443 | 488.9 | |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84.5% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.8 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.4 |
Timeline
- 36' Goal Matty Cash league goal #3
- 46' Sub Mikel Merino → Viktor Gyökeres
- 46' Sub Eberechi Eze → Leandro Trossard
- 52' Goal Leandro Trossard league goal #4
- 66' Sub Ollie Watkins → Donyell Malen
- 72' Yellow Riccardo Calafiori
- 74' Yellow Bukayo Saka
- 75' Sub Amadou Onana → Lamare Bogarde
- 75' Sub John McGinn → Jadon Sancho
- 79' Sub Bukayo Saka → Noni Madueke
- 86' Sub Pau Torres → Victor Lindelöf
- 86' Sub → Gabriel Martinelli
- 86' Sub Riccardo Calafiori → Myles Lewis-Skelly
- 87' Sub Matty Cash → Emiliano Buendía
- 90' Goal Emiliano Buendía league goal #4 assist Boubacar Kamara
Category leaders
- Key passesBukayo Saka4
- Duels wonIan Maatsen7/12
- DribblesIan Maatsen3/3
- Defensive actionsJurriën Timber7
- ShotsMartin Ødegaard3 (on target 3)
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.