Everton 3-0 Nottingham Forest
Key numbers
- Possession 41% – 59%
- Shots 11 (5 on target) – 7 (3)
- Decisive moment: 45' Thierno Barry, FN xPts +0.5
Nikola Milenković 2' (OG)
Thierno Barry 45'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 80'
Thierno Barry 45'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 80'
HT 2:0
Everton 10th → 5th · 24 pts|Nottingham Forest 16th · 15 pts
Everton won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.12–0.53).
Player of the matchKiernan Dewsbury-HallDecisive moment45' Thierno Barry+0.5
Player of the match
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)
Game state
Everton ahead 88 min · level 2 min · Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
2'
Nikola Milenković
Own goal
−0.7
45'
Thierno Barry
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Iliman Ndiaye +0.2
+0.5
80'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Goal · assist Jake O'Brien
0.0
Everton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.5Opponent moments +0.7Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments −0.7Opponent moments −0.3Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
EvertonNottingham Forest
41%Possession59%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.53
0.1xG per shot0.08
11Shots7
5Shots on target3
45%Shots on target %43%
7Shots in box6
306Passes441
78%Pass accuracy81%
6Corners3
2Saves3
17Fouls15
4Yellow cards3
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Everton
16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 1.12 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.53 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.3 | |
| On target | 5 | 3.2 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 41% | 45.7% | |
| Passes | 306 | 404.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79.9% | |
| Corners | 6 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 10.1 |
Nottingham Forest
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.53 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.12 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 7 | 13.5 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 59% | 52% | |
| Passes | 441 | 465.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83.5% | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 11.9 |
Timeline
- 1' Yellow Nicolò Savona
- 2' Goal Nikola Milenković (OG)
- 45' Goal Thierno Barry league goal #1 assist Iliman Ndiaye
- 45+3' Yellow Morato
- 46' Sub Ibrahim Sangaré → Ryan Yates
- 46' Sub Dan Ndoye → Callum Hudson-Odoi
- 46' Sub Nicolò Savona → Zach Abbott
- 54' Yellow Nikola Milenković
- 57' Yellow Thierno Barry
- 62' Sub Thierno Barry → Beto
- 62' Sub → Nicolás Domínguez
- 73' Yellow James Tarkowski
- 73' Sub Carlos Alcaraz → Dwight McNeil
- 80' Goal Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall league goal #4 assist Jake O'Brien
- 84' Yellow Vitaliy Mykolenko
- 86' Sub Jack Grealish → Tyler Dibling
- 90+3' Yellow Jake O'Brien
Category leaders
- Key passesJack Grealish3
- Duels wonElliot Anderson12/20
- DribblesOmari Hutchinson4/5
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson8
- ShotsKiernan Dewsbury-Hall3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonElliot Anderson5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.