Premier League · Matchweek 15
Bruno Guimarães 31'
Anthony Gordon 45' (pen)
HT 2:0
Zian Flemming 90' (pen)
Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 15:00 (UK) · St. James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle 12th → 8th · 22 pts|Burnley 19th · 10 pts

Newcastle won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.77–1.61).

Player of the matchBruno Guimarães8.6Decisive moment31' Bruno Guimarães+0.5

Newcastle 2-1 Burnley

Key numbers

  • Possession 70% – 30%
  • Shots 17 (7 on target) – 9 (3)
  • Decisive moment: 31' Bruno Guimarães, FN xPts +0.5
Player of the match
Bruno Guimarães 8.6Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.6 (Dominant)

Game state

1-02-02-1
Newcastle ahead 59 min · level 31 min · Burnley ahead 0 min
  • Burnley: Red card 43' → ~47 min a player down
  • Zian Flemming — off the bench 12 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

31' Bruno Guimarães Goal +0.5
43' Lucas Pires Red card −0.2
45' Anthony Gordon Pen goal +0.2
90' Zian Flemming Pen goal +0.1
Newcastle Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.7Opponent moments +0.1Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Burnley Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments −0.1Opponent moments −0.6Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

NewcastleBurnley
70%Possession30%
1.77Expected goals (xG)1.61
0.1xG per shot0.18
17Shots9
7Shots on target3
41%Shots on target %33%
6Shots in box5
611Passes259
91%Pass accuracy73%
9Corners9
2Saves6
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
3Offsides2

Compared with usual

Newcastle

21 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals21.7
Conceded11.1
xG1.771.4
xG against1.610.99
Shots1713.3
On target75.2
Shots faced911.5
xG per shot0.10.11
Possession70%51%
Passes611443.3
Pass accuracy91%81.8%
Corners96
Fouls99.8

Burnley

16 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.1
Conceded21.9
xG1.610.66high
xG against1.771.8
Shots98.9
On target33.5
Shots faced1715.1
xG per shot0.180.09
Possession30%42.1%
Passes259386
Pass accuracy73%77.3%
Corners92.9high
Fouls119.8

Timeline

  • 31' Goal Bruno Guimarães league goal #5
  • 35' Yellow Kyle Walker
  • 43' Red Lucas Pires
  • 45' Goal Anthony Gordon (pen) league goal #2
  • 45+6' VAR Anthony Gordon
  • 46' Sub Lyle Foster → Joe Worrall
  • 52' Yellow Valentino Livramento
  • 63' Sub Dan Burn → Lewis Hall
  • 63' Sub Joe Willock → Lewis Miley
  • 65' Sub Florentino Luís → Josh Laurent
  • 74' Sub Nick Woltemade → Yoane Wissa
  • 74' Sub Anthony Gordon → Joelinton
  • 86' Sub Armando Broja → Zian Flemming
  • 86' Sub Jacob Bruun Larsen → Jaidon Anthony
  • 89' Yellow Josh Laurent
  • 90' Goal Zian Flemming (pen) league goal #5
  • 90+2' VAR Zian Flemming
  • 90+3' Yellow Jacob Ramsey
  • 90+5' Sub Jacob Ramsey → Sandro Tonali
  • 90+5' Sub Hjalmar Ekdal → Marcus Edwards

Category leaders

  • Key passesValentino Livramento2
  • Duels wonArmando Broja8/27
  • DribblesAnthony Gordon3/3
  • Defensive actionsJacob Bruun Larsen7
  • ShotsBruno Guimarães4 (on target 3)
  • Fouls wonBruno Guimarães4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.