Premier League · Matchweek 16
2:1
Sam Johnstone 70' (OG)
Yerson Mosquera 90' (OG)
HT 0:0
Tolu Arokodare 90'
Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 20:00 (UK) · Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal 1st · 36 pts|Wolves 20th · 2 pts

Arsenal won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.13–0.38).

Player of the matchBukayo Saka7.6Decisive moment90' Tolu Arokodare+0.9

Arsenal 2-1 Wolves

Key numbers

  • Possession 69% – 31%
  • Shots 16 (2 on target) – 3 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 90' Tolu Arokodare, FN xPts +0.9
Player of the match
Bukayo Saka 7.6Strong

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 7.6 (Strong)

Game state

1-01-12-1
Arsenal ahead 20 min · level 70 min · Wolves ahead 0 min
  • Tolu Arokodare — off the bench 21 min · 1G 0A
  • Mateus Mané — off the bench 13 min · 0G 1A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

70' Sam Johnstone Own goal −0.6
90' Tolu Arokodare Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Mateus Mané +0.3 +0.9
90' Yerson Mosquera Own goal −0.9
Arsenal Expected (last two seasons) 2.4Own moments 0.0Opponent moments +1.0Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
Wolves Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments −0.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.2→ League points won 0

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

ArsenalWolves
69%Possession31%
1.13Expected goals (xG)0.38
0.07xG per shot0.13
16Shots3
2Shots on target2
13%Shots on target %67%
12Shots in box3
572Passes261
87%Pass accuracy69%
8Corners0
1Saves2
7Fouls15
0Yellow cards4
1Offsides1

Compared with usual

Arsenal

23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22.1
Conceded10.43
xG1.131.8
xG against0.380.64
Shots1614.7
On target25.9
Shots faced38.9
xG per shot0.070.12
Possession69%58.1%
Passes572486.4
Pass accuracy87%84.7%
Corners85.6
Fouls710.3

Wolves

18 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals10.89
Conceded22.2
xG0.380.83
xG against1.131.4
Shots310.1
On target23.2
Shots faced1613.6
xG per shot0.130.09
Possession31%47.1%low
Passes261402.3low
Pass accuracy69%80%low
Corners03.2low
Fouls1514.6

Timeline

  • 31' Sub Ben White → Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • 57' Sub Eberechi Eze → Martin Ødegaard
  • 57' Sub Gabriel Martinelli → Leandro Trossard
  • 58' Sub Martín Zubimendi → Mikel Merino
  • 60' Yellow Hee-Chan Hwang
  • 65' Yellow Matt Doherty
  • 69' Sub Jørgen Strand Larsen → Tolu Arokodare
  • 69' Sub Matt Doherty → Jackson Tchatchoua
  • 70' Goal Sam Johnstone (OG)
  • 80' Sub Hee-Chan Hwang → Jhon Arias
  • 80' Sub Ladislav Krejčí → Fer López
  • 81' Sub Viktor Gyökeres → Gabriel Jesus
  • 86' Sub Toti Gomes → Mateus Mané
  • 90' Goal Tolu Arokodare league goal #1 assist Mateus Mané
  • 90' Goal Yerson Mosquera (OG)
  • 90+6' Yellow Yerson Mosquera
  • 90+8' Yellow Emmanuel Agbadou

Category leaders

  • Key passesBukayo Saka3
  • Duels wonBukayo Saka11/11
  • DribblesBukayo Saka4/4
  • Defensive actionsPiero Hincapié5
  • ShotsDeclan Rice3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonBukayo Saka4

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.