La Liga · Matchweek 16
Carlos Vicente 68'
HT 0:1
Kylian Mbappé 24'
Rodrygo 76'
Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 20:00 (UK) · Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Alaves 12th · 18 pts|Real Madrid 2nd · 39 pts

Real Madrid won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.36–1.83).

Player of the matchJude Bellingham8.5Decisive moment76' Rodrygo+1.4

Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid

Key numbers

  • Possession 52% – 48%
  • Shots 6 (2 on target) – 13 (6)
  • Decisive moment: 76' Rodrygo, FN xPts +1.4
Player of the match
Jude Bellingham 8.5Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.5 (Dominant)

Game state

0-11-11-2
Alaves ahead 0 min · level 32 min · Real Madrid ahead 58 min
  • Carlos Vicente — off the bench 23 min · 1G 0A

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

24' Kylian Mbappé Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Jude Bellingham +0.2 +0.8
68' Carlos Vicente Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Antonio Blanco +0.2 +0.8
76' Rodrygo Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Vinícius Júnior +0.4 +1.4
Alaves Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Real Madrid Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.2Opponent moments −1.2Time effect +0.2→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

AlavesReal Madrid
52%Possession48%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.83
0.23xG per shot0.14
6Shots13
2Shots on target6
33%Shots on target %46%
4Shots in box10
488Passes462
86%Pass accuracy86%
5Corners7
4Saves1
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
2Offsides0

Compared with usual

Alaves

last 6 matches, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals11.2
Conceded21
xG1.361.1
xG against1.831.1
Shots610.5
On target23.5
Shots faced1312.7
xG per shot0.230.11
Possession52%47.2%
Passes488424.3
Pass accuracy86%80.5%
Corners53
Fouls1217.8

Real Madrid

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals22
Conceded11
xG1.832.3
xG against1.361.2
Shots1319.7
On target67.3
Shots faced611.2
xG per shot0.140.12
Possession48%59.3%
Passes462570.6
Pass accuracy86%88.1%
Corners76.3
Fouls139.7

Timeline

  • 6' Yellow Victor Parada
  • 24' Goal Kylian Mbappé league goal #17 assist Jude Bellingham
  • 67' Sub Abderrahman Rebbach → Carles Aleñá
  • 67' Sub Pablo Ibáñez → Toni Martínez
  • 67' Sub Calebe Gonçalves → Carlos Vicente
  • 68' Goal Carlos Vicente league goal #4 assist Antonio Blanco
  • 69' VAR Carlos Vicente
  • 76' Goal Rodrygo league goal #1 assist Vinícius Júnior
  • 78' Sub Arda Güler → Gonzalo García
  • 78' Sub Víctor Valdepeñas → Dean Huijsen
  • 80' Yellow Vinícius Júnior
  • 83' Sub Denis Suárez → Ander Guevara
  • 83' Sub Rodrygo → Brahim Díaz
  • 89' Sub Victor Parada → Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
  • 89' Sub Vinícius Júnior → Franco Mastantuono
  • 90+3' Yellow Ander Guevara

Category leaders

  • Key passesAntonio Blanco2
  • Duels wonJonny Otto9/17
  • DribblesKylian Mbappé3/5
  • Defensive actionsJonny Otto9
  • ShotsRodrygo3 (on target 1)
  • Fouls wonRodrygo3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.