Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Lennart Karl 29'
Harry Kane 87' (pen)
HT 1:1
Kacper Potulski 45'
Jae-sung Lee 67'
Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 16:30 (UK) · Allianz Arena, Munich
Bayern München · 38 pts|FSV Mainz 05 · 7 pts

2-2 draw, with xG at 4.5–0.6.

Player of the matchSerge Gnabry8.1Decisive moment67' Jae-sung Lee+1.1

Bayern München 2-2 FSV Mainz 05

Key numbers

  • Possession 85% – 15%
  • Shots 24 (11 on target) – 5 (2)
  • Decisive moment: 67' Jae-sung Lee, FN xPts +1.1
Player of the match
Serge Gnabry 8.1Dominant

Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.1 (Dominant)

Game state

1-01-11-22-2
Bayern München ahead 16 min · level 54 min · FSV Mainz 05 ahead 20 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.

29' Lennart Karl Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Serge Gnabry +0.1 +0.4
45' Kacper Potulski Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist William Bøving +0.1 +0.4
67' Jae-sung Lee Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Stefan Bell +0.3 +1.1
87' Harry Kane Pen goal +1.1
Bayern München Expected (last two seasons) 2.5Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −1.4→ League points won 1
FSV Mainz 05 Expected (last two seasons) 0.4Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.8Time effect +0.9→ League points won 1

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

Bayern MünchenFSV Mainz 05
85%Possession15%
4.5Expected goals (xG)0.6
0.19xG per shot0.12
24Shots5
11Shots on target2
46%Shots on target %40%
20Shots in box3
971Passes177
91%Pass accuracy59%
7Corners0
0Saves8
7Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
6Offsides1

Compared with usual

Bayern München

22 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals23.5
Conceded20.95
xG4.52.3
xG against0.60.7
Shots2418.2
On target118.5
Shots faced59.9
xG per shot0.190.12
Possession85%63.5%high
Passes971660.3
Pass accuracy91%88.3%
Corners75.3
Fouls710.5

FSV Mainz 05

15 matches this season, all competitions baseline
This matchAvg
Goals20.8
Conceded21.7
xG0.61.1
xG against4.51.6
Shots511.1
On target22.8
Shots faced2415.5high
xG per shot0.120.09
Possession15%48%low
Passes177398.1low
Pass accuracy59%74.7%low
Corners04.9low
Fouls813.3

Timeline

  • 29' Goal Lennart Karl league goal #3 assist Serge Gnabry
  • 45' Goal Kacper Potulski league goal #1 assist William Bøving
  • 50' Yellow Danny da Costa
  • 61' Sub Hiroki Itō → Alphonso Davies
  • 61' Sub Leon Goretzka → Aleksandar Pavlović
  • 61' Sub Tom Bischof → Konrad Laimer
  • 62' Sub Sota Kawasaki → Arnaud Nordin
  • 67' Goal Jae-sung Lee league goal #2 assist Stefan Bell
  • 73' Sub Min-jae Kim → Nicolas Jackson
  • 77' Yellow Konrad Laimer
  • 78' Sub Benedict Hollerbach → Nelson Weiper
  • 83' Yellow Alphonso Davies
  • 86' Yellow Kacper Potulski
  • 87' Goal Harry Kane (pen) league goal #18

Category leaders

  • Key passesMichael Olise5
  • Duels wonMichael Olise8/13
  • DribblesMichael Olise3/5
  • Defensive actionsNikolas Veratschnig7
  • ShotsHarry Kane7 (on target 5)
  • Fouls wonMichael Olise3

Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.