Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United
Key numbers
- Possession 43% – 57%
- Shots 12 (4 on target) – 15 (6)
- Decisive moment: 57' Morgan Rogers, FN xPts +1.0
Morgan Rogers 45'
Morgan Rogers 57'
Morgan Rogers 57'
HT 1:1
Matheus Cunha 45'
Aston Villa 3rd · 36 pts|Manchester United 7th · 26 pts
Aston Villa won on the scoreboard and on xG (1.54–1.33).
Player of the matchMorgan RogersDecisive moment57' Morgan Rogers+1.0
Player of the match
Morgan Rogers Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.4 (Dominant)
Game state
Aston Villa ahead 33 min · level 57 min · Manchester United ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
45'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist John McGinn +0.3
+0.9
45'
Matheus Cunha
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Patrick Dorgu +0.2
+0.7
57'
Morgan Rogers
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Ollie Watkins +0.3
+1.0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −0.9Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Manchester United
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Aston VillaManchester United
43%Possession57%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.33
0.13xG per shot0.09
12Shots15
4Shots on target6
33%Shots on target %40%
8Shots in box5
351Passes460
80%Pass accuracy86%
5Corners5
5Saves2
4Fouls2
1Yellow cards2
3Offsides1
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.96 | |
| xG | 1.54 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.33 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 12 | 11.9 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 43% | 54.8% | |
| Passes | 351 | 461 | |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 85.3% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 10.4 |
Manchester United
17 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.33 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.54 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 17.3 | |
| On target | 6 | 5.9 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 11 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 57% | 55.2% | |
| Passes | 460 | 464.6 | |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 81.2% | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 2 | 10 |
Timeline
- 45' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #6 assist John McGinn
- 45' Goal Matheus Cunha league goal #3 assist Patrick Dorgu
- 46' Sub Bruno Fernandes → Lisandro Martínez
- 57' Goal Morgan Rogers league goal #7 assist Ollie Watkins
- 68' Yellow Manuel Ugarte
- 72' Yellow Diogo Dalot
- 73' Sub Manuel Ugarte → Joshua Zirkzee
- 73' Sub Benjamin Šeško → Jack Fletcher
- 75' Sub Ollie Watkins → Donyell Malen
- 75' Sub Ian Maatsen → Lucas Digne
- 84' Sub Amadou Onana → Emiliano Buendía
- 84' Sub John McGinn → Evann Guessand
- 84' Sub Leny Yoro → Shea Lacey
- 88' Sub Boubacar Kamara → Lamare Bogarde
- 90+2' Yellow Lamare Bogarde
Category leaders
- Key passesJohn McGinn3
- Duels wonPatrick Dorgu13/16
- DribblesDiogo Dalot2/3
- Defensive actionsLuke Shaw7
- ShotsMatheus Cunha6 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonYouri Tielemans4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.