Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City
Key numbers
- Possession 34% – 66%
- Shots 7 (2 on target) – 16 (5)
- Decisive moment: 83' Rayan Cherki, FN xPts +1.5
Omari Hutchinson 54'
HT 0:0
Tijjani Reijnders 48'
Rayan Cherki 83'
Rayan Cherki 83'
Nottingham Forest 17th · 18 pts|Manchester City 2nd → 1st · 40 pts
Manchester City won on the scoreboard and on xG (0.55–1.45).
Player of the matchRayan CherkiDecisive moment83' Rayan Cherki+1.5
Player of the match
Rayan Cherki Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 8.9 (Dominant)
Game state
Nottingham Forest ahead 0 min · level 77 min · Manchester City ahead 13 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
48'
Tijjani Reijnders
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Rayan Cherki +0.3
+0.9
54'
Omari Hutchinson
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Igor Jesus +0.2
+0.7
83'
Rayan Cherki
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Joško Gvardiol +0.5
+1.5
Nottingham Forest
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.6Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.4Opponent moments −1.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
Nottingham ForestManchester City
34%Possession66%
0.55Expected goals (xG)1.45
0.08xG per shot0.09
7Shots16
2Shots on target5
29%Shots on target %31%
5Shots in box9
293Passes595
75%Pass accuracy90%
5Corners5
3Saves1
5Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
1Offsides1
Compared with usual
Nottingham Forest
24 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 0.55 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 1.45 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 7 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 11.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 34% | 52.2% | |
| Passes | 293 | 463.4 | |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 83.5% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 11.8 | low |
Manchester City
26 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.88 | |
| xG | 1.45 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 0.55 | 0.96 | |
| Shots | 16 | 15.2 | |
| On target | 5 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 8.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 66% | 59.9% | |
| Passes | 595 | 596.7 | |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88.5% | |
| Corners | 5 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 9.7 |
Timeline
- 36' Yellow Rúben Dias
- 43' Yellow Elliot Anderson
- 48' Goal Tijjani Reijnders league goal #4 assist Rayan Cherki
- 54' Goal Omari Hutchinson league goal #1 assist Igor Jesus
- 59' Yellow Nico O'Reilly
- 73' Sub Tijjani Reijnders → Savinho
- 83' Goal Rayan Cherki league goal #2 assist Joško Gvardiol
- 87' Sub Nicolás Domínguez → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 89' Sub Rayan Cherki → Nathan Aké
- 90+2' Sub Callum Hudson-Odoi → Dilane Bakwa
Category leaders
- Key passesRayan Cherki3
- Duels wonElliot Anderson10/15
- DribblesNico O'Reilly3/5
- Defensive actionsElliot Anderson8
- ShotsRayan Cherki3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonIgor Jesus4
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.